BetGenius

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction

Checking status…
Serie ASerie A
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 6, 12:00 AM
Round
Regular Season - 26
Referee
D. Lacerda

Recent form

Fluminense
66Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +2 goal difference

Vasco DA Gama
80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +5 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Fluminense or Draw
Confidence78%

BetGenius backs Fluminense or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Fluminense welcome local rivals Vasco DA Gama to the Maracana for round 26 of the Serie A campaign, with both sides carrying very different objectives into the final stretch of the season. The hosts enter the clash sitting fourth in the table with 42 points, firmly in the hunt for automatic Copa Libertadores group-stage qualification. Their strength has been built on commanding home form, where they have lost just once in 13 league outings, picking up nine victories along the way.

Vasco DA Gama, on the other hand, find themselves occupying 17th position with 25 points, entrenched in a tense relegation battle. While recent victories across all competitions have provided a boost, Vasco remain winless on the road in the league this season, recording five draws and six defeats across 11 away trips while conceding 21 times.

Fluminense must navigate the absence of top scorer John Kennedy, who is sidelined with a knee problem, but their tactical consistency and resilience on home turf give them a significant edge. With Vasco struggling for consistency away from home, Fluminense will expect to dictate tempo and maintain their push near the top of the table.

Key factors

  • Fluminense have lost only once in 13 home league fixtures this season, winning nine and conceding just 14 goals.
  • Vasco DA Gama have not won an away match in Serie A this season, with five draws and six defeats from 11 games.
  • Fluminense sit fourth in the standings with 42 points, while Vasco are 17th in the relegation zone with 25 points.
  • Fluminense will be without leading goalscorer John Kennedy due to a knee injury.
  • Vasco DA Gama concede an average of 1.9 goals per match on their travels in league play.

Team news

Fluminense

  • AlissonHip Injury
  • John KennedyKnee Injury
  • Matheus ReisKnee Injury
  • Samuel XavierShoulder Injury
  • Igor RabelloInjury

Vasco DA Gama

  • BrennerInjury
  • JairInjury
  • Mateus CarvalhoKnee Injury
  • CuiabanoInactive
  • J. RojasInactive

Statistical comparison

Fluminense at home vs Vasco DA Gama away
13
Played
11
9-3-1
W-D-L
0-5-6
1.8
Scored /game
1
1.1
Conceded /game
1.9
23%
Clean sheets
9%
8%
Failed to score
27%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Fluminense at home plus Vasco DA Gama away).

Key players this season

Fluminense

  • John KennedyKnee Injury9G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+3054
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+2453
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+1045
4FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+845
5BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)26+843
6CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26+142
7CoritibaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26-137
14Botafogo25-331
15Gremio25-628
16Mirassol26-1128
17Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B25-1325
18InternacionalRelegation - Serie B26-625
19RemoRelegation - Serie B26-1323
20Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B25-2317

Head-to-head

Full record →
Fluminense
4
Draws
2
Vasco DA Gama
4

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-06Fluminense 1-3 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2026-08-01Vasco DA Gama 0-0 Fluminense
  • 2026-03-19Vasco DA Gama 3-2 Fluminense
  • 2026-03-01Fluminense 1-1 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2026-02-22Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Fluminense

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Fluminense or Draw
Confidence78%

Fluminense have established a strong home record in Serie A, winning nine and drawing three of their 13 fixtures in front of their own supporters. In contrast, Vasco DA Gama are winless across 11 away league matches this season, suffering six defeats and managing only 11 goals. Although Vasco claimed a 3-1 win in their recent cup encounter, Fluminense's overall league consistency and defensive solidity at home make them well positioned to take at least a point.

More from BetGenius

Teams around them in the table

FlamengoPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseBahiaCruzeiroCoritiba
All Serie A predictions →

Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.