BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 26
Venue
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
D. Lacerda
Form

Recent form

Fluminense
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +2 goal difference

Vasco DA Gama
40Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Fluminense or Draw

BetGenius backs Fluminense or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Fluminense welcome local rivals Vasco DA Gama to the Maracana for round 26 of the Serie A campaign, with both sides carrying very different objectives into the final stretch of the season. The hosts enter the clash sitting fourth in the table with 42 points, firmly in the hunt for automatic Copa Libertadores group-stage qualification. Their strength has been built on commanding home form, where they have lost just once in 13 league outings, picking up nine victories along the way.

Vasco DA Gama, on the other hand, find themselves occupying 17th position with 25 points, entrenched in a tense relegation battle. While recent victories across all competitions have provided a boost, Vasco remain winless on the road in the league this season, recording five draws and six defeats across 11 away trips while conceding 21 times.

Fluminense must navigate the absence of top scorer John Kennedy, who is sidelined with a knee problem, but their tactical consistency and resilience on home turf give them a significant edge. With Vasco struggling for consistency away from home, Fluminense will expect to dictate tempo and maintain their push near the top of the table.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Fluminense have lost only once in 13 home league fixtures this season, winning nine and conceding just 14 goals.
  2. Vasco DA Gama have not won an away match in Serie A this season, with five draws and six defeats from 11 games.
  3. Fluminense sit fourth in the standings with 42 points, while Vasco are 17th in the relegation zone with 25 points.
  4. Fluminense will be without leading goalscorer John Kennedy due to a knee injury.
  5. Vasco DA Gama concede an average of 1.9 goals per match on their travels in league play.
Availability

Team news

Fluminense

  • AlissonHip Injury
  • John KennedyKnee Injury
  • Matheus ReisKnee Injury
  • J. SavarinoYellow Cards
  • MartinelliInactive

Vasco DA Gama

  • Mateus CarvalhoKnee Injury
  • Cauan BarrosInactive
  • C. CuestaInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Fluminense at homeVasco DA Gama away
16
Played
15
11-3-2
W-D-L
2-5-8
1.8
Scored /game
1
1
Conceded /game
1.7
31%
Clean sheets
7%
6%
Failed to score
33%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Fluminense at home plus Vasco DA Gama away).

Players

Key players this season

Fluminense

  • L. Acosta5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
7BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+549
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
18GremioRelegation - Serie B31-1031
History

Head-to-head

4
Fluminense
2
Draws
4
Vasco DA Gama

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-06Fluminense1-3Vasco DA Gama
  • 2026-08-01Vasco DA Gama0-0Fluminense
  • 2026-03-19Vasco DA Gama3-2Fluminense
  • 2026-03-01Fluminense1-1Vasco DA Gama
  • 2026-02-22Vasco DA Gama0-1Fluminense
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Fluminense or Draw
78%
Confidence

Fluminense have established a strong home record in Serie A, winning nine and drawing three of their 13 fixtures in front of their own supporters. In contrast, Vasco DA Gama are winless across 11 away league matches this season, suffering six defeats and managing only 11 goals. Although Vasco claimed a 3-1 win in their recent cup encounter, Fluminense's overall league consistency and defensive solidity at home make them well positioned to take at least a point.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.