BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Venue
Ski Stadion, Ski
Form

Recent form

Follo
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Sarpsborg 08 FF
49Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Sarpsborg 08 FF or Draw

BetGenius backs Sarpsborg 08 FF or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Follo host Sarpsborg 08 FF in the Round of 64 of the Norwegian Cup, looking to test themselves against higher-tier cup opposition. Follo enter this cup tie with mixed recent results across all competitions, having registered one victory, one draw, and three defeats in their last five fixtures while conceding ten goals in that span.

Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive after a run of tight encounters, including draws against Fredrikstad, Valerenga, and Tromso, alongside a 2-0 cup triumph over Sparta Sarpsborg. Their defensive setup has shown greater stability on the road, where they have avoided defeat in several recent outings.

With Follo displaying defensive vulnerabilities in recent matches and Sarpsborg 08 FF proving tough to break down on their travels, the away side holds the advantage in control and overall quality in this knockout fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Follo have conceded ten goals across their last five matches in all competitions.
  2. Sarpsborg 08 FF kept clean sheets in two of their last three away fixtures.
  3. Sarpsborg 08 FF advanced in the cup with a 2-0 away win against Sparta Sarpsborg.
  4. Follo have managed only one win in their last five competitive outings.
Availability

Team news

Follo

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Sarpsborg 08 FF

  • F. CarstensenInjury
  • M. OpokuAnkle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Follo at homeSarpsborg 08 FF away
—
Played
12
—
W-D-L
3-4-5
—
Scored /game
1.3
—
Conceded /game
1.6
—
Clean sheets
25%
—
Failed to score
33%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
BetGenius

Our record in Norwegian Cup

70%40 won from 57 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Sarpsborg 08 FF or Draw
76%
Confidence

Sarpsborg 08 FF have shown resilience in recent away fixtures, including clean-sheet displays against Sparta Sarpsborg and Tromso. Follo have struggled defensively in recent weeks, conceding eight goals across their last three matches. Backing Sarpsborg 08 FF on the double chance accounts for potential knockout cup competitiveness while reflecting the visitors greater defensive solidity.

GoalsLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Follo have been involved in multiple high-scoring contests recently, conceding ten goals across their last five matches, including five against Levanger and two each against Kjelsas and Honefoss. Sarpsborg 08 FF have also seen plenty of goal action, scoring twice in their cup victory over Sparta Sarpsborg and participating in high-event games such as a 2-2 draw with Valerenga and a 1-3 loss to KFUM Oslo. Follo's regular defensive lapses paired with Sarpsborg's attacking threat create strong conditions for three or more goals to be scored.

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Published September 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.