BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 10
Venue
Essity Stadium, Flint
Referee
R. Wright
Form

Recent form

GAP Connah S Quay FC
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +6 goal difference

Cardiff MET
62Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
GAP Connah S Quay FC or Draw

BetGenius backs GAP Connah S Quay FC or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

GAP Connah S Quay FC welcome Cardiff MET to the Deeside Stadium looking to rebound from a 2-1 away defeat against Colwyn Bay. The hosts sit fourth in the table on 19 points from nine matches, boasting a prolific home record where they have scored 14 goals and conceded just three across five outings this season.

Cardiff MET arrive in ninth position with 14 points from eight matches. The visitors have shown resilience on their travels, securing two wins and a draw from four away matches while conceding only two goals, though they face one of their toughest historical matchups in this fixture.

Head-to-head records strongly favor the home side, with Connah S Quay having won seven of the previous ten meetings between the teams, including four victories and one draw in their last five home encounters against Cardiff MET.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. GAP Connah S Quay FC have won four of their last five home fixtures against Cardiff MET, remaining unbeaten across that stretch.
  2. Connah S Quay have scored in 100% of their league games this season, averaging 2.8 goals per match at home.
  3. Cardiff MET have conceded just two goals across four away matches, winning twice and drawing once on the road.
  4. Seven of the previous ten head-to-head meetings between these two clubs have produced over 2.5 goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

GAP Connah S Quay FC at homeCardiff MET away
5
Played
4
3-1-1
W-D-L
2-1-1
2.8
Scored /game
2
0.6
Conceded /game
0.5
60%
Clean sheets
—
0%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 4.8 goals per game (GAP Connah S Quay FC at home plus Cardiff MET away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1The New SaintsPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FCPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+2131
3PenybontPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+1430
4Caernarfon TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+2429
5Colwyn BayPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+726
6Barry TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+525
7Airbus UKPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14+824
8Cardiff METPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14+822
9Cambrian & ClydachPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14-1318
10LlandudnoPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)13-116
11Briton FerryCymru Premier (Relegation Group)14-1212
History

Head-to-head

7
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
Draws
2
Cardiff MET

GAP Connah S Quay FC have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-18GAP Connah S Quay FC1-0Cardiff MET
  • 2025-11-01Cardiff MET0-3GAP Connah S Quay FC
  • 2025-09-13GAP Connah S Quay FC1-1Cardiff MET
  • 2024-11-02GAP Connah S Quay FC1-0Cardiff MET
  • 2024-09-21Cardiff MET2-1GAP Connah S Quay FC
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

64%59 won from 92 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
GAP Connah S Quay FC or Draw
76%
Confidence

GAP Connah S Quay FC have established a dominant home platform this campaign, taking 10 points from a possible 15 and averaging 2.8 goals scored per game. They have scored in all nine of their league matches this season. Additionally, head-to-head history is heavily slanted towards the hosts, who are unbeaten in their last five home matches against Cardiff MET with four wins and a draw.

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Published September 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.