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Sun 27 Sept · 19:45

Germany vs Greece prediction

Follow GermanyFollow GreeceFollow this match
Round
League A - 2
Venue
WWK Arena, Augsburg
Referee
Chris Kavanagh, England

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Germany
48Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference

Greece
61Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Germany to win

BetGenius backs Germany to win (Match Winner) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Germany host Greece in League A of the UEFA Nations League looking to build on their strong attacking performances. The hosts have demonstrated consistent scoring form across their recent schedule, finding the net in all five of their previous outings, which include a 7-1 victory over Curacao alongside 2-1 wins against the Ivory Coast and the USA.

Greece enter this clash seeking to improve their efficiency in front of goal. They have failed to score in four of their last five matches, recording 0-0 draws against Hungary and Belarus as well as 1-0 defeats to Italy and Paraguay. Their only offensive success across that span came in a 2-2 draw with Sweden.

Head-to-head history also favours the hosts, with Germany winning both recorded meetings between the sides, including a 2-1 victory in June 2024 and a 4-2 triumph at the 2012 European Championship. Given their superior scoring record and home advantage, Germany hold the upper hand coming into this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Germany have won three of their last five matches, finding the net in all five fixtures.
  2. Greece are winless across their last five games, recording three draws and two defeats.
  3. Greece have failed to score in four of their last five outings, managing goals only in a 2-2 draw with Sweden.
  4. Germany have won both previous head-to-head meetings with Greece, recording 2-1 and 4-2 victories.
  5. Germany have defensive absences with N. Brown and N. Schlotterbeck reported out through injury.
Availability

Team news

Germany

  • N. BrownAdductor Injury
  • N. SchlotterbeckLigament Stretching

Team news last updated Jun 29 (119 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Greece

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Germany at homeGreece away
2
Played
2
1-0-1
W-D-L
2-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Germany
0
Draws
1
Greece

Germany have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-09-27Germany0-1Greece
  • 2024-06-07Germany2-1Greece
  • 2012-06-22Germany4-2Greece
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Our record in UEFA Nations League

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Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Match Winner
Germany to win
74%
Confidence

Germany present a clear advantage across recent form and head-to-head history. The hosts have won three of their last five matches, averaging multiple goals per game with results like the 7-1 against Curacao and 2-1 against Ivory Coast. Even with injuries to N. Schlotterbeck and N. Brown, their attacking setup remains potent.

In contrast, Greece have gone winless across their previous five matches and have been held scoreless in four of them. With Germany also having won both prior meetings between the nations, the hosts possess the necessary quality to secure the win on home soil.

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Published September 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.