Germany

Greece have won both of their group matches so far, conceding only once across 180 minutes of football. Their 1-0 away victory over Germany demonstrated their ability to restrict the German attack to zero goals. Germany have won none of their last four games in all competitions and have scored only once in two Nations League matches, making a home win or draw a well-supported outcome in Athens.

Serbia have struggled for defensive solidity, conceding two or more goals in four consecutive matches across all competitions. Germany have also had trouble converting chances, scoring only one goal in two Nations League matches, but their defensive record remains comparatively stable with two goals conceded in two games. Backing Germany to secure at least a point reflects Serbia's current four-match losing run and Germany's home advantage.

Germany present a clear advantage across recent form and head-to-head history. The hosts have won three of their last five matches, averaging multiple goals per game with results like the 7-1 against Curacao and 2-1 against Ivory Coast. Even with injuries to N. Schlotterbeck and N. Brown, their attacking setup remains potent.

In contrast, Greece have gone winless across their previous five matches and have been held scoreless in four of them. With Germany also having won both prior meetings between the nations, the hosts possess the necessary quality to secure the win on home soil.

Both teams have demonstrated reliable attacking threat alongside persistent defensive vulnerabilities. Netherlands have scored in each of their last five matches while conceding in all five. Similarly, Germany have scored and conceded in every single one of their last five games, including matches against Paraguay, Ecuador, and Ivory Coast. In historical meetings between the two nations, both teams have found the net in 7 of their last 9 encounters, producing an average of 3.44 goals per game. With Germany missing defenders N. Brown and N. Schlotterbeck through injury, both attacks are well placed to get on the scoresheet.