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Thu 24 Sept · 19:45

Netherlands vs Germany prediction

Follow NetherlandsFollow GermanyFollow this match
Round
League A - 1
Venue
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Referee
Alejandro Hernandez, Spain

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Netherlands
65Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +3 goal difference

Germany
48Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Both Teams to Score
Yes

BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Netherlands open their UEFA Nations League campaign by hosting Germany in a renewal of one of international football's classic rivalries. Both sides enter this fixture having shown consistent attacking output throughout their recent fixtures, while regularly conceding chances at the other end of the pitch.

Netherlands have remained difficult to beat, recording wins over Tunisia, Sweden, and Uzbekistan alongside draws against Morocco and Japan across their last five outings. They have scored in all five matches, totaling 13 goals, but have also failed to keep a clean sheet across that entire sequence.

Germany arrive with defensive concerns of their own, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last five matches, including a 2-1 defeat to Ecuador and a 1-1 draw with Paraguay. With both defensive units regularly breached and both forward lines consistently producing, this encounter is set up to be an open contest.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Netherlands have scored in all of their last 5 fixtures, totaling 13 goals.
  2. Both teams have scored in 100 percent of the last 5 matches for each nation.
  3. Across 9 previous head-to-head meetings, both teams scored in 77.8 percent of matches.
  4. The 9 historical meetings between these sides have averaged 3.44 goals per game.
  5. Germany have defensive absentees with N. Brown and N. Schlotterbeck sidelined.
Availability

Team news

Netherlands

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Germany

  • N. BrownAdductor Injury
  • N. SchlotterbeckLigament Stretching

Team news last updated Jun 29 (119 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Netherlands at homeGermany away
1
Played
1
0-1-0
W-D-L
0-1-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
100%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Netherlands
3
Draws
4
Germany

Germany have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

  • 2024-10-14Germany1-0Netherlands
  • 2024-09-10Netherlands2-2Germany
  • 2024-03-26Germany2-1Netherlands
  • 2022-03-29Netherlands1-1Germany
  • 2019-09-06Germany2-4Netherlands
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
76%
Confidence

Both teams have demonstrated reliable attacking threat alongside persistent defensive vulnerabilities. Netherlands have scored in each of their last five matches while conceding in all five. Similarly, Germany have scored and conceded in every single one of their last five games, including matches against Paraguay, Ecuador, and Ivory Coast. In historical meetings between the two nations, both teams have found the net in 7 of their last 9 encounters, producing an average of 3.44 goals per game. With Germany missing defenders N. Brown and N. Schlotterbeck through injury, both attacks are well placed to get on the scoresheet.

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Published September 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.