BetGenius
Round
League A - 4
Venue
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Referee
Clement Turpin, France
Form

Recent form

Greece
61Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Germany
48Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Greece or Draw

BetGenius backs Greece or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Greece host Germany in League A of the UEFA Nations League following a superb start to their campaign. The Greeks have collected maximum points from their opening two fixtures, defeating Serbia 2-1 on the road before pulling off a 1-0 victory against Germany in the reverse fixture.

Germany arrive under pressure after taking just one point from their first two group outings, drawing 1-1 against the Netherlands and suffering that 1-0 home defeat to Greece. The visitors are without a win in their last four matches in all competitions, managing just three goals across that span.

With Greece carrying strong defensive solidity and home advantage, this encounter shapes up to be another tightly contested battle where the hosts have every chance of avoiding defeat.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Greece have won both of their Nations League matches, conceding an average of only 0.5 goals per game.
  2. Germany are winless in their last four matches overall, recording two draws and two defeats.
  3. Greece already defeated Germany 1-0 on German soil in the reverse fixture on 27 September.
  4. Germany have scored just one goal in their opening two Nations League fixtures.
Availability

Team news

Greece

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Germany

  • N. BrownAdductor Injury
  • N. SchlotterbeckLigament Stretching

Team news last updated Jun 29 (119 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Greece at homeGermany away
1
Played
1
0-1-0
W-D-L
0-1-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%
History

Head-to-head

1
Greece
0
Draws
2
Germany

Germany have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-09-27Germany0-1Greece
  • 2024-06-07Germany2-1Greece
  • 2012-06-22Germany4-2Greece
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Greece or Draw
68%
Confidence

Greece have won both of their group matches so far, conceding only once across 180 minutes of football. Their 1-0 away victory over Germany demonstrated their ability to restrict the German attack to zero goals. Germany have won none of their last four games in all competitions and have scored only once in two Nations League matches, making a home win or draw a well-supported outcome in Athens.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Our previous calls on this fixture

Teams around them in the table

All UEFA Nations League predictions →

Published October 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.