Greece have won both of their group matches so far, conceding only once across 180 minutes of football. Their 1-0 away victory over Germany demonstrated their ability to restrict the German attack to zero goals. Germany have won none of their last four games in all competitions and have scored only once in two Nations League matches, making a home win or draw a well-supported outcome in Athens.
- Round
- League A - 4
- Venue
- Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
- Referee
- Clement Turpin, France
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Greece or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Greece host Germany in League A of the UEFA Nations League following a superb start to their campaign. The Greeks have collected maximum points from their opening two fixtures, defeating Serbia 2-1 on the road before pulling off a 1-0 victory against Germany in the reverse fixture.
Germany arrive under pressure after taking just one point from their first two group outings, drawing 1-1 against the Netherlands and suffering that 1-0 home defeat to Greece. The visitors are without a win in their last four matches in all competitions, managing just three goals across that span.
With Greece carrying strong defensive solidity and home advantage, this encounter shapes up to be another tightly contested battle where the hosts have every chance of avoiding defeat.
Key factors
- Greece have won both of their Nations League matches, conceding an average of only 0.5 goals per game.
- Germany are winless in their last four matches overall, recording two draws and two defeats.
- Greece already defeated Germany 1-0 on German soil in the reverse fixture on 27 September.
- Germany have scored just one goal in their opening two Nations League fixtures.
Team news
Greece
Team news unavailable for this fixture.
Germany
- N. BrownAdductor Injury
- N. SchlotterbeckLigament Stretching
Team news last updated Jun 29 (119 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.
Statistical comparison
Head-to-head
- 1
- Greece
- 0
- Draws
- 2
- Germany
Germany have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
- 2026-09-27Germany0-1Greece
- 2024-06-07Germany2-1Greece
- 2012-06-22Germany4-2Greece
Our record in UEFA Nations League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
Our previous calls on this fixture
- Germany 0-1 Greece2026-09-27
Published October 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

