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Thu 8 Oct · 16:00

HJK Helsinki vs VPS prediction

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Round: Championship Group - 26
Venue: Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Referee: O. Reitala

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

HJK Helsinki

57Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

VPS

39Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals

Over 1.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 1.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 1.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

HJK Helsinki host VPS in the Veikkausliiga Championship Group, with both sides looking to solidify their standings in the upper half of the table. HJK enter this contest sitting in third place with 37 points from 25 matches, having demonstrated dependable attacking output on their home turf where they average 1.7 goals scored per match.

VPS occupy sixth position on 33 points and have found high-scoring fixtures harder to come by in recent weeks. While their away matches throughout the season have been tight affairs, averaging 1.9 total goals per game, their trips to Helsinki and overall head-to-head history against HJK have regularly generated opportunities at both ends.

Previous encounters between these two clubs have consistently produced goals, with their two meetings earlier in the 2026 campaign both finishing with 2-1 scorelines. HJK will look to take the initiative at home, while VPS seek to break out of a recent run of low-scoring results.

Analysis

Key factors

HJK Helsinki average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across their 12 home league fixtures this season.
Eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between HJK and VPS have produced two or more goals.
Both regular-season clashes between these teams in 2026 ended in 2-1 scorelines.
VPS have seen all five of their most recent league matches stay under 2.5 total goals, pointing toward a moderate rather than high total.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

HJK Helsinki at homeVPS away

Played

7-2-3

W-D-L

4-3-6

1.7

Scored /game

0.8

1.3

Conceded /game

1.4

42%

Clean sheets

23%

17%

Failed to score

38%

60%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

20%

Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (HJK Helsinki at home plus VPS away).

Players

Key players this season

HJK Helsinki

M. Borchers13G
T. Pukki4G · 2A
L. Montano3A

VPS

L. Smyth5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	KuPSPlay-offs	22	+15	43
2	Inter TurkuPlay-offs	22	+13	42
3	HJK HelsinkiPlay-offs	22	+9	37
4	GnistanPlay-offs	22	+7	36
5	AC OuluPlay-offs	22	0	34
6	VPSPlay-offs	22	+7	33
7	LahtiRelegation Play-offs	22	+7	32
8	Turku PSRelegation Play-offs	22	+5	31
9	IlvesRelegation Play-offs	22	-3	25

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

6
HJK Helsinki: 1
Draws: 3
VPS

HJK Helsinki have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

2026-07-18HJK Helsinki2-1VPS
2026-05-22VPS2-1HJK Helsinki
2025-07-05VPS0-2HJK Helsinki
2025-04-26HJK Helsinki3-1VPS
2024-09-20VPS1-1HJK Helsinki

BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

2 published markets

GoalsWON

Total Goals

Over 1.5 Goals

75%

Confidence

HJK Helsinki have scored 20 goals in 12 home matches this season, an average of 1.7 goals per game, while conceding 1.3 per match at home. That baseline makes at least two goals highly probable when they play in front of their own supporters. However, VPS have seen a dip in attacking output recently, failing to score in four of their last five matches and seeing each of those five games finish under 2.5 goals. While the head-to-head history is productive, with 8 of their last 10 meetings producing two or more goals, VPS's recent low-scoring form makes a third goal harder to back with high confidence compared to the clear case for over 1.5 goals.

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

HJK Helsinki or Draw

76%

Confidence

HJK Helsinki have shown consistent form on home turf with seven wins and two draws from 12 matches, scoring 20 goals in the process. VPS have suffered three defeats in their last four league games and failed to score in four of their last five overall fixtures, making a home positive result the most probable outcome.

Explore

HJK Helsinki vs VPS prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

HJK Helsinki

VPS

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Veikkausliiga

2 published markets

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