KuPS

KuPS have established a clear edge in this head-to-head series, recording seven wins and two draws across nine all-time meetings without suffering a defeat. Both regular-season clashes between the two sides in 2026 finished in 1-0 victories for KuPS. Away from home, KuPS have allowed just 0.8 goals per game, losing only two of 11 road matches. While Gnistan have shown improved form over their last four outings, KuPS possess the defensive stability to limit their scoring chances and take at least a point.

KuPS lead the division and have lost only two of their 21 league matches this campaign, including just one defeat in ten away fixtures. Inter Turku have drawn five of their ten home games and have failed to beat KuPS in their last six home meetings, where KuPS recorded three wins and three draws. Backing KuPS to secure at least a point aligns with their consistent away record and commanding head-to-head advantage.

KuPS earned a balanced 1-1 result in Dublin and now return home, where they should hold the upper hand in controlling tempo. Shamrock Rovers have had significant defensive lapses on recent travels, conceding five goals away at Egnatia Rrogozhinë and three away at St Patrick's Athletic, making KuPS to avoid defeat the sturdiest outcome call.

Both teams have consistently demonstrated offensive potency paired with defensive fragility. Every recorded completed fixture in KuPS's last five outings has seen both teams score (2-4, 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-1), and Shamrock Rovers have similarly seen both teams find the net in each of their last four recorded matches (1-1, 2-3, 1-5, 3-2), including their 1-1 draw in the first leg.

KuPS are undefeated at home this season (6 wins, 4 draws) and face a Mariehamn side that has lost 9 of their 10 away league fixtures, conceding 2.4 goals per match on the road.