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Thu 8 Oct · 17:00

KuPS vs AC Oulu prediction

Round
Championship Group - 26
Venue
Vare Areena, Kuopio
Referee
J. Kontinen
Form

Recent form

KuPS
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · 0 goal difference

AC Oulu
26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
KuPS or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs KuPS or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 72% confidence — a solid call.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Championship Group leaders KuPS host fifth-placed AC Oulu in round 26 of the Veikkausliiga. The hosts sit at the summit with 43 points from 25 matches, having maintained a steady home foundation with six victories and five draws from twelve league outings on their own ground. A recent 2-0 away victory at VPS returned them to winning ways following a tight sequence of low-scoring encounters.

AC Oulu travel south in contrasting form, having suffered three consecutive defeats against Inter Turku, Gnistan, and VPS. Their offensive production has slowed considerably, with the side failing to score in three of their previous four fixtures and managing only 26 goals across 25 league games this season.

Historically, KuPS have dominated this fixture in Kuopio, winning five of their six home clashes with AC Oulu. With KuPS striving to protect their position at the top of the table and Oulu struggling for attacking traction, the hosts hold the upper hand in what projects to be another tightly contested fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

KuPS at homeAC Oulu away
2
Played
12
1-0-1
W-D-L
4-2-6
—
Scored /game
1.1
—
Conceded /game
1.4
—
Clean sheets
33%
—
Failed to score
33%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%
Players

Key players this season

KuPS

  • J. Moreno6G
  • B. Armah4G
  • P. Pennanen3A

AC Oulu

  • R. Karjalainen3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1KuPSPlay-offs22+1543
2Inter TurkuPlay-offs22+1342
3HJK HelsinkiPlay-offs22+937
4GnistanPlay-offs22+736
5AC OuluPlay-offs22034
6VPSPlay-offs22+733
7LahtiRelegation Play-offs22+732
8Turku PSRelegation Play-offs22+531
History

Head-to-head

5
KuPS
1
Draws
4
AC Oulu

KuPS have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-02AC Oulu2-0KuPS
  • 2026-04-22KuPS3-2AC Oulu
  • 2026-02-28AC Oulu5-0KuPS
  • 2025-12-05KuPS1-2AC Oulu
  • 2025-07-04AC Oulu2-2KuPS
BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

5 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
KuPS or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals
72%
Both must land · no better than

KuPS or Draw — 76% confidence

KuPS have been exceptionally difficult to beat at home, suffering only one defeat in twelve league fixtures while winning six. They also boast five wins from six previous home meetings against AC Oulu. In contrast, Oulu enter this encounter on a three-match losing streak and have lost six of their twelve away games in the league.

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

All five of KuPS's last five matches across all competitions have stayed under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, and 1-0. Similarly, four of AC Oulu's last five games have produced two goals or fewer, largely driven by an attack that has been shut out in three of their last four outings.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

All five of KuPS's last five matches across all competitions have stayed under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, and 1-0. Similarly, four of AC Oulu's last five games have produced two goals or fewer, largely driven by an attack that has been shut out in three of their last four outings.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
KuPS or Draw
76%
Confidence

KuPS have been exceptionally difficult to beat at home, suffering only one defeat in twelve league fixtures while winning six. They also boast five wins from six previous home meetings against AC Oulu. In contrast, Oulu enter this encounter on a three-match losing streak and have lost six of their twelve away games in the league.

Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
No
67%
Confidence

AC Oulu have scored only one goal across their last four matches, failing to register against SJK, VPS, and Inter Turku. KuPS have kept eight clean sheets this season and have conceded only 24 goals in 25 league fixtures, making a clean sheet for at least one side a strong possibility.

GoalsLOST
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

KuPS have shown consistent scoring output at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match and scoring 21 goals in 12 home fixtures. AC Oulu concede an average of 1.4 goals per away game, having shipped 17 goals across 12 away fixtures. Across their last ten head-to-head clashes, the sides have averaged 3.1 goals per game, with eight of those ten matches producing at least two goals. While both teams have had several tight scorelines in recent weeks that make reaching three or more goals less dependable, the combined profile of KuPS at home and Oulu on the road strongly indicates that at least two goals will be scored.

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Published October 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.