TodayLOST
Market
Match Winner
Pick
KuPS to win
Confidence84%
KuPS are undefeated at home this season (6 wins, 4 draws) and face a Mariehamn side that has lost 9 of their 10 away league fixtures, conceding 2.4 goals per match on the road.
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 23, 12:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 21
Venue
Vare Areena, Kuopio
Referee
J. Kontinen
Recent form
KuPS
44Poor
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference
Mariehamn
69Strong
Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +1 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongMarket
Match Winner
Pick
KuPS to win
Confidence84%
BetGenius backs KuPS to win (Match Winner) at 84% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
League leaders KuPS host bottom-placed Mariehamn in a top-versus-bottom Veikkausliiga encounter. KuPS sit at the summit with 43 points from 20 matches, holding a five-point lead over second-placed Inter Turku. The hosts have maintained an unbeaten home record this campaign, collecting six victories and four draws across 10 fixtures at their home ground while scoring 19 goals.
Mariehamn find themselves in 12th position with just eight points from 20 games and a goal difference of -30. The visitors have struggled significantly on their travels, recording nine defeats and one draw from 10 away league games, conceding 24 goals while finding the net just four times in the process.
With KuPS conceding an average of only 0.9 goals per game overall and Mariehamn failing to score in seven of their 10 away matches, the league leaders enter this fixture as strong statistical favourites to secure maximum points.
Key factors
- KuPS remain unbeaten at home in the league with 6 wins and 4 draws in 10 matches.
- Mariehamn are winless on the road this season, recording 1 draw and 9 defeats in 10 away games.
- Mariehamn have failed to score in 7 of their 10 away league fixtures, averaging just 0.4 goals per away match.
- KuPS boast the division's top spot with 43 points, whereas Mariehamn sit 12th with 8 points and a -30 goal difference.
Statistical comparison
KuPS at home vs Mariehamn away11
Played
11
6-4-1
W-D-L
1-1-9
1.9
Scored /game
0.7
1.3
Conceded /game
2.4
27%
Clean sheets
0%
9%
Failed to score
64%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (KuPS at home plus Mariehamn away).
Key players this season
KuPS
- J. Moreno5G
- B. Armah3G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPSPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group) | 22 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 | Inter TurkuPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group) | 22 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 | HJK HelsinkiPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group) | 22 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | GnistanPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group) | 22 | +7 | 36 |
| 9 | IlvesVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group) | 22 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 | SJKVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group) | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 | FF JaroVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group) | 22 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | MariehamnVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group) | 22 | -26 | 14 |
Head-to-head
Full record →KuPS
4
Draws
3
Mariehamn
3
KuPS have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
- 2026-08-23KuPS 2-4 Mariehamn
- 2026-05-16Mariehamn 1-1 KuPS
- 2026-03-14KuPS 2-0 Mariehamn
- 2025-06-18Mariehamn 1-0 KuPS
- 2025-04-23KuPS 4-1 Mariehamn
Our record in Veikkausliiga
60%12 won from 20 settled predictions (2 void)
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Other Veikkausliiga predictions
Teams around them in the table
Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.