BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 21
Venue
Vare Areena, Kuopio
Referee
Simo Mynttinen, Finland
Form

Recent form

KuPS
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · 0 goal difference

Mariehamn
73Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
KuPS to win

BetGenius backs KuPS to win (Match Winner) at 84% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

84%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

League leaders KuPS host bottom-placed Mariehamn in a top-versus-bottom Veikkausliiga encounter. KuPS sit at the summit with 43 points from 20 matches, holding a five-point lead over second-placed Inter Turku. The hosts have maintained an unbeaten home record this campaign, collecting six victories and four draws across 10 fixtures at their home ground while scoring 19 goals.

Mariehamn find themselves in 12th position with just eight points from 20 games and a goal difference of -30. The visitors have struggled significantly on their travels, recording nine defeats and one draw from 10 away league games, conceding 24 goals while finding the net just four times in the process.

With KuPS conceding an average of only 0.9 goals per game overall and Mariehamn failing to score in seven of their 10 away matches, the league leaders enter this fixture as strong statistical favourites to secure maximum points.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. KuPS remain unbeaten at home in the league with 6 wins and 4 draws in 10 matches.
  2. Mariehamn are winless on the road this season, recording 1 draw and 9 defeats in 10 away games.
  3. Mariehamn have failed to score in 7 of their 10 away league fixtures, averaging just 0.4 goals per away match.
  4. KuPS boast the division's top spot with 43 points, whereas Mariehamn sit 12th with 8 points and a -30 goal difference.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

KuPS at homeMariehamn away
2
Played
12
1-0-1
W-D-L
1-1-10
—
Scored /game
0.8
—
Conceded /game
2.3
—
Clean sheets
0%
—
Failed to score
58%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Players

Key players this season

KuPS

  • J. Moreno6G
  • B. Armah4G
  • P. Pennanen3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1KuPSPlay-offs22+1543
2Inter TurkuPlay-offs22+1342
3HJK HelsinkiPlay-offs22+937
4GnistanPlay-offs22+736
9IlvesRelegation Play-offs22-325
10SJKRelegation Play-offs22-819
11FF JaroRelegation Play-offs22-2615
12MariehamnRelegation Play-offs22-2614
History

Head-to-head

4
KuPS
3
Draws
3
Mariehamn

KuPS have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-23KuPS2-4Mariehamn
  • 2026-05-16Mariehamn1-1KuPS
  • 2026-03-14KuPS2-0Mariehamn
  • 2025-06-18Mariehamn1-0KuPS
  • 2025-04-23KuPS4-1Mariehamn
BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

TodayLOST
Match Winner
KuPS to win
84%
Confidence

KuPS are undefeated at home this season (6 wins, 4 draws) and face a Mariehamn side that has lost 9 of their 10 away league fixtures, conceding 2.4 goals per match on the road.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.