BetGenius

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 prediction

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Kickoff
Sun, Aug 23, 04:30 PM
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Referee
Igor Pajač, Croatia

Recent form

HNK Rijeka
33Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -6 goal difference

Istra 1961
50Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

HNK Rijeka host Istra 1961 at Stadion Rujevica in this HNL matchday clash. Rijeka currently sit in 7th place with 3 points from their opening 2 league fixtures, having won their sole home game 2-1 while falling 2-0 away to NK Varazdin. They enter this fixture looking to bounce back after consecutive European and domestic away defeats against FC Midtjylland (2-0) and Varazdin.

Istra 1961 arrive sitting 5th in the table with 4 points from 3 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their start to the campaign has been goal-filled, netting 7 goals and conceding 5, capped off by an impressive 3-0 home victory against NK Slaven Belupo and a 2-2 away draw at HNK Hajduk Split.

Despite Istra's open games early this season, historical meetings between these two sides have consistently produced tight, low-scoring affairs. Across their last 10 head-to-head encounters, the matches have averaged just 1.6 goals, with Under 2.5 hitting in 80% of those clashes.

Key factors

  • Head-to-head history has seen 80% of the last 10 meetings finish with Under 2.5 goals.
  • HNK Rijeka have scored an average of 1.0 goal per game in the league and failed to score in their last two matches across all competitions.
  • Istra 1961 have taken 4 points from their last two league games (3-0 vs Slaven Belupo, 2-2 at Hajduk Split).
  • Both teams have consistently deployed a 4-2-3-1 formation in all their league matches so far this season.

Statistical comparison

HNK Rijeka at home vs Istra 1961 away
2
Played
2-0-0
W-D-L
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Key players this season

HNK Rijeka

  • D. Adu-Adjei3G
  • T. Fruk3A

Istra 1961

  • E. Frederiksen4G · 2A
  • H. Jaganjac4G
  • D. Ahmeti2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
2Dinamo ZagrebPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)5+913
3NK VarazdinPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)6+613
4NK OsijekPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)6+412
5HNK Rijeka5+310
6Istra 19616+16
7NK Lokomotiva Zagreb6-46
8NK Slaven Belupo6-86
9Rudes6-133

Head-to-head

Full record →
HNK Rijeka
5
Draws
2
Istra 1961
3

HNK Rijeka have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.6 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-17Istra 1961 0-0 HNK Rijeka
  • 2026-03-15HNK Rijeka 0-2 Istra 1961
  • 2026-01-20Istra 1961 1-2 HNK Rijeka
  • 2025-09-27HNK Rijeka 0-0 Istra 1961
  • 2025-04-19Istra 1961 2-0 HNK Rijeka

Our record in HNL

77%17 won from 22 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence68%

Historical head-to-head encounters heavily favor a low-scoring outcome, with 8 of the past 10 matches staying Under 2.5 goals and an average of only 1.6 goals per fixture. Rijeka have also struggled for goals recently, failing to score in their last two competitive matches.

More from BetGenius

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.