HNK Hajduk Split

Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence

Thun’s cup average of one goal against per game combined with Hajduk’s 3.2 goals per game suggests the match will produce more than 2.5 goals in total.

HNK Hajduk Split or Draw — 73% confidence

Hajduk Split’s superior recent form and high scoring rate make a defeat unlikely. Even if they fail to win, a draw is plausible, giving the away side at least a point.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Hajduk Split have built a sturdy record on home turf this season, capturing four victories and one draw while allowing just 0.6 goals per game. Varazdin have proved durable with only one defeat through nine rounds and will present a stern tactical test, but their away record includes just two wins in four attempts. Given that Hajduk have won three and drawn one of the last five meetings between the sides in Split, backing the league leaders to take at least a point carries solid probability against the division's second-placed club.

Both sides possess prolific attacking returns paired with recurrent vulnerabilities at the back. Ajax have found the net in every single European match they have contested this season, averaging 3.7 goals scored per game, yet they have maintained zero clean sheets across six outings and concede at a rate of 1.7 goals per fixture. Hajduk Split similarly enter without failing to score in the competition, averaging 3.5 goals per match and scoring six times in two home fixtures. With Ajax missing key defensive figures such as D. Blind and Caio Henrique, both teams finding the scoresheet represents the most cohesive probabilistic outcome.

HNK Hajduk Split Over 1.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Hajduk Split have scored at least two goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, netting eight times in three home league matches. Slaven Belupo have conceded eight goals across three away league games, allowing an average of 2.7 goals per away fixture.

HNK Hajduk Split to win — 78% confidence

Hajduk Split sit top of the table with four wins and a draw from six league fixtures, including two wins and a draw at home where they average 2.7 goals scored per game. Slaven Belupo have lost all three away league games without finding the net, conceding 2.7 goals per match on their travels. Hajduk have also won seven of the previous ten meetings between the sides without suffering a defeat.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (team total goals and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Slaven Belupo have failed to score in all three of their away league matches this season. Across the ten most recent head-to-head encounters, both teams scored in only 20 percent of the fixtures, with Hajduk keeping clean sheets in the majority of their recent home clashes against Belupo.

Hajduk Split sit top of the table with four wins and a draw from six league fixtures, including two wins and a draw at home where they average 2.7 goals scored per game. Slaven Belupo have lost all three away league games without finding the net, conceding 2.7 goals per match on their travels. Hajduk have also won seven of the previous ten meetings between the sides without suffering a defeat.

Hajduk Split have scored at least two goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, netting eight times in three home league matches. Slaven Belupo have conceded eight goals across three away league games, allowing an average of 2.7 goals per away fixture.

Over 2.5 Goals — 80% confidence

Hajduk Split have scored at least two goals in each of their last five matches, netting 13 goals overall during that span. Vardarac's recent matches have also produced high scorelines, including a 3-1 victory against Liznjan and a 3-2 defeat to Radnički Dalj. Given the difference in attacking power, this cup encounter is highly likely to clear the 2.5 goal mark.

HNK Hajduk Split to win — 86% confidence

HNK Hajduk Split possess an overwhelming qualitative advantage in this cup tie. The visitors are unbeaten across their last five fixtures with four wins and a draw, regularly scoring against top-tier and European opposition. Lower-tier Vardarac secured a 3-1 win over Liznjan in the previous round, but the vast gulf in squad depth and competition level heavily favours an away victory.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

HNK Hajduk Split possess an overwhelming qualitative advantage in this cup tie. The visitors are unbeaten across their last five fixtures with four wins and a draw, regularly scoring against top-tier and European opposition. Lower-tier Vardarac secured a 3-1 win over Liznjan in the previous round, but the vast gulf in squad depth and competition level heavily favours an away victory.

Hajduk Split have scored at least two goals in each of their last five matches, netting 13 goals overall during that span. Vardarac's recent matches have also produced high scorelines, including a 3-1 victory against Liznjan and a 3-2 defeat to Radnički Dalj. Given the difference in attacking power, this cup encounter is highly likely to clear the 2.5 goal mark.

Hajduk Split have dominated this fixture historically, winning nine of the ten recorded head-to-head meetings between the two clubs, including each of the last four. Rudes have had significant defensive struggles this season, conceding fifteen goals in five league matches at an average of three per game. With Hajduk Split entering on the back of four wins in their last five games and scoring in every match this term, the away side are well positioned to secure all three points in a relatively open, high-scoring match.

Hajduk Split remain unbeaten at home in league action, scoring six goals in two matches while averaging three goals per game at Poljud. In contrast, Lokomotiva Zagreb have lost two of their three away league matches, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game on the road and failing to keep a clean sheet all season. Across the last ten head-to-head fixtures, Hajduk Split have lost only twice, making the home double chance a well-supported position alongside an expectation of goals given the 3.3 match average in past meetings.

Both teams proved their ability to breach each other's defenses in the first leg's 2-2 draw. Hajduk Split have scored in every recorded fixture with a 3.70 goals-for average, while Raków have averaged 1.50 goals at home and already demonstrated they can find the net multiple times against Hajduk's backline.

NK Osijek have started the HNL season with 3 consecutive wins, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 1. In contrast, Hajduk Split have managed only 1 win from their first 3 league fixtures (1-1-1). Furthermore, Osijek won the most recent head-to-head meeting 1-0 away at Hajduk Split in April 2026.