BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 11
Venue
Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Referee
Patrik Kolaric
Form

Recent form

Istra 1961
52Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +5 goal difference

HNK Hajduk Split
79Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw

BetGenius backs HNK Hajduk Split or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

League leaders HNK Hajduk Split travel to face seventh-placed Istra 1961 in round 11 of the HNL. Hajduk Split sit at the top of the standings with 22 points from ten matches, entering this fixture on a four-game winning streak across all competitions that includes notable victories over Dinamo Zagreb and Ajax.

Istra 1961 have accumulated 12 points through three wins, three draws, and four losses. They arrive following a 2-0 away defeat against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, though they have been productive going forward at home, averaging two goals scored per league game on their own turf.

Historical meetings between these two clubs have frequently produced tightly contested affairs. Five of their last ten clashes have ended all square, with Hajduk Split winning three and Istra claiming two. When traveling to Istra, Hajduk are unbeaten across their past five visits, recording two wins and three draws.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. HNK Hajduk Split lead the HNL table with 22 points and the best defensive record in the league, allowing just nine goals in ten games.
  2. Five of the previous ten meetings between Istra 1961 and Hajduk Split have ended in draws, including a 2-2 result in August 2026.
  3. Hajduk Split are unbeaten in their last five away fixtures against Istra 1961, recording two wins and three draws.
  4. Istra 1961 have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match both overall and in home games this season.
  5. Hajduk Split enter the fixture having won each of their last four matches across all competitions.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Istra 1961 at homeHNK Hajduk Split away
5
Played
4
2-1-2
W-D-L
2-0-2
2
Scored /game
1.8
1.6
Conceded /game
1.5
20%
Clean sheets
—
20%
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.8 goals per game (Istra 1961 at home plus HNK Hajduk Split away).

Players

Key players this season

Istra 1961

  • E. Frederiksen7G · 3A
  • H. Jaganjac4G
  • D. Ahmeti4A

HNK Hajduk Split

  • M. Šego4G
  • Dali3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)10+1022
2Dinamo ZagrebPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)9+1119
3NK VarazdinPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)11+518
4HNK RijekaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)9+417
5NK Osijek11+317
6NK Slaven Belupo11-913
7Istra 196110+112
8NK Lokomotiva Zagreb11-411
9Rudes11-1310
10HNK GoricaRelegation - Prva NL11-87
History

Head-to-head

2
Istra 1961
5
Draws
3
HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-08-09HNK Hajduk Split2-2Istra 1961
  • 2026-04-07Istra 19611-3HNK Hajduk Split
  • 2026-01-25HNK Hajduk Split1-2Istra 1961
  • 2025-10-19Istra 19610-3HNK Hajduk Split
  • 2025-08-03HNK Hajduk Split2-1Istra 1961
BetGenius

Our record in HNL

69%25 won from 36 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw
76%
Confidence

HNK Hajduk Split lead the division with 22 points and have conceded just nine goals in ten league matches, showing strong overall stability and four straight victories across league and European competition. Istra 1961 sit tenth points behind them in seventh place and have suffered four league defeats this campaign.

Despite Hajduk's position at the top, their away league form shows two wins and two losses from four outings, while the head-to-head record indicates that Istra consistently make this fixture difficult. Half of the last ten meetings have finished level, including a 2-2 draw in August 2026. Backing Hajduk Split to win or draw covers the strong likelihood of a shared point while respecting their clear table advantage and superior recent form.

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Published October 25, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.