Both sides possess prolific attacking returns paired with recurrent vulnerabilities at the back. Ajax have found the net in every single European match they have contested this season, averaging 3.7 goals scored per game, yet they have maintained zero clean sheets across six outings and concede at a rate of 1.7 goals per fixture. Hajduk Split similarly enter without failing to score in the competition, averaging 3.5 goals per match and scoring six times in two home fixtures. With Ajax missing key defensive figures such as D. Blind and Caio Henrique, both teams finding the scoresheet represents the most cohesive probabilistic outcome.
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax prediction
- Round
- League Stage - 1
- Venue
- Stadion Poljud, Split
- Referee
- Christian-Petru Ciochirca, Austria
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
HNK Hajduk Split welcome Ajax to Stadion Poljud for their opening league stage clash in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with both clubs carrying impressive scoring momentum into European competition. Hajduk Split enter this fixture following a 2-1 home victory over Dinamo Zagreb and have registered three wins and a draw from their four European outings, averaging 3.5 goals scored per match.
Ajax travel to Croatia having posted an unbeaten record in this tournament so far, recording five victories and one draw with an explosive return of 22 goals across six fixtures. However, defensive stability remains a primary concern for the Dutch outfit, who have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those six encounters while conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game.
Squad depth will be tested for the visitors, with S. Berghuis, D. Blind, Caio Henrique, K. Dolberg, and A. Gaaei all sidelined through injury. Hajduk Split boast a clean bill of health and will look to exploit an Ajax backline that consistently allows scoring opportunities, setting the stage for a lively, end-to-end encounter.
Key factors
- Ajax have failed to keep a single clean sheet across six competition fixtures, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game.
- Hajduk Split have scored in every cup outing this season, averaging 3.5 goals scored across four matches.
- Ajax average 3.7 goals scored per game in the competition, led by attacking contributions from O. Gloukh and D. Klaassen with four goals apiece.
- Ajax are dealing with multiple confirmed injuries, including D. Blind, Caio Henrique, S. Berghuis, K. Dolberg, and A. Gaaei.
- Hajduk Split have no reported availability issues and come into the match following a 2-1 home win over Dinamo Zagreb.
Team news
HNK Hajduk Split
Team news unavailable for this fixture.
Ajax
- S. AdingraLacking Match Fitness
- S. BerghuisInjury
- D. BlindBack Injury
- Caio HenriqueThigh Injury
- K. DolbergKnee Injury
- A. GaaeiInjury
- O. EdvardsenInactive
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 6.7 goals per game (HNK Hajduk Split at home plus Ajax away).
Key players this season
Ajax
- D. Klaassen5G
- T. Arokodare4G
- A. Ouazane3A
- S. BerghuisInjury3A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | TwentePromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 | MonacoPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 | St. TruidenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk SplitPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | BrightonPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | +4 | 4 |
| 10 | FC CopenhagenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea CraiovaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIFPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 13 | AjaxPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja LukaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | AtalantaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | SC BragaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Both teams to score: BTTS predictions · How BTTS settles · BTTS record
Teams around them in the table
Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

