BetGenius

Holywell vs Caernarfon Town prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Fri, Aug 28, 06:45 PM
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell
Referee
T. Owen

Recent form

Holywell
4Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -12 goal difference

Caernarfon Town
61Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +5 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Caernarfon Town or Draw
Confidence82%

BetGenius backs Caernarfon Town or Draw (Double Chance) at 82% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Holywell host Caernarfon Town in matchday 5 of the Premier League season, with both sides experiencing contrasting starts to their respective league campaigns. Holywell sit 15th in the standings, having lost all four of their opening fixtures while conceding 15 goals and netting four. At home, they have suffered back-to-back 3-1 defeats against GAP Connah S Quay FC and Barry Town.

In contrast, Caernarfon Town have enjoyed a positive opening month, collecting nine points from four matches to sit sixth in the championship qualification places. The visitors have been particularly effective on the road, securing consecutive victories with a 2-1 win at GAP Connah S Quay FC and a 2-0 triumph away to Trefelin, conceding just one goal across their two away outings.

Key factors

  • Holywell have lost four consecutive league matches, conceding 15 goals across that span.
  • Caernarfon Town have a 100% away record in the league this season, winning two from two with an aggregate score of 4-1.
  • Holywell concede an average of 3.0 goals per game at home and 3.8 goals per game overall in league play.
  • Caernarfon Town possess the league's joint-best defensive record among top-six sides in the neighbourhood, conceding only three goals in four fixtures.

Statistical comparison

Holywell at home vs Caernarfon Town away
3
Played
3
0-0-3
W-D-L
3-0-0
1.7
Scored /game
3
3.7
Conceded /game
1.3
Clean sheets
Failed to score
100%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 4.7 goals per game (Holywell at home plus Caernarfon Town away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1The New SaintsPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)7+1419
2Barry TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)7+918
3GAP Connah S Quay FCPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)7+1316
4Caernarfon TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)7+915
5LlandudnoPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)7+815
6PenybontPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)7+615
7Cardiff METPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)7+913
13Ammanford AFCCymru Premier (Relegation Group)7-122
14TrefelinCymru Premier (Relegation Group)7-152
15Flint Town UnitedCymru Premier (Relegation Group)7-81
16HolywellCymru Premier (Relegation Group)7-171

Head-to-head

Full record →
Holywell
0
Draws
1
Caernarfon Town
1

Caernarfon Town have won 1 of the last 2 meetings.

  • 2026-08-28Holywell 3-5 Caernarfon Town
  • 2025-09-10Caernarfon Town 2-2 Holywell

Our record in Premier League

58%22 won from 38 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Caernarfon Town or Draw
Confidence82%

Caernarfon Town enter the fixture in strong form, having won three of their four league matches including both away fixtures. Holywell have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 3.8 goals per match and losing all four games to start the campaign. While Caernarfon hold a distinct form advantage, backing Double Chance (Away or Draw) covers the slight variance shown in their previous 2-2 cup meeting.

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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.