BetGenius
Round
Group Stage
Venue
BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston
Referee
Jaclyn Metz
Form

Recent form

Houston Dash W
30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

Washington Spirit W
65Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Washington Spirit W or Draw

BetGenius backs Washington Spirit W or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Washington Spirit travel to face Houston Dash in NWSL action, bringing one of the league's sharpest away records into the matchup. Positioned third in the standings with 46 points from 26 matches, the Spirit have built their playoff push on disciplined defending and clinical counter-attacking, suffering only two defeats in 13 away fixtures so far this season.

Houston Dash sit twelfth in the table with 30 points and face an uphill battle against an opponent that has dominated recent encounters. While Houston have been competitive at home with five wins and three draws from 12 matches, their overall defensive return of 36 goals conceded highlights vulnerability against high-caliber forward lines.

Washington have won each of the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams across all venues, including a 2-1 victory in July 2026. Led in attack by Trinity Rodman with nine goals and five assists, the Spirit hold tactical advantages across the pitch to control proceedings and secure points on the road.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Washington Spirit have lost only two of their 13 away league matches this season, winning eight and drawing three.
  2. Washington have won each of the last five head-to-head encounters against Houston Dash.
  3. Spirit forward Trinity Rodman has registered nine goals and five assists during the campaign.
  4. Houston Dash have conceded 36 goals in 26 league matches, recording only five clean sheets overall.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Houston Dash W at homeWashington Spirit W away
14
Played
14
5-3-6
W-D-L
9-3-2
1.6
Scored /game
1.7
1.4
Conceded /game
0.9
29%
Clean sheets
43%
29%
Failed to score
14%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Houston Dash W at home plus Washington Spirit W away).

Players

Key players this season

Houston Dash W

  • K. Rader10G

Washington Spirit W

  • T. Rodman11G · 5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1355
2San Diego Wave WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1354
3Washington Spirit WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1452
4Kansas City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1247
5Utah Royals WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+747
6Angel City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1746
9North Carolina Courage W28+1042
10Denver Summit W28+738
11Orlando Pride W28-636
12Houston Dash W29-433
13Boston Legacy W28-932
14Bay FC W28-1427
15Racing Louisville W28-1724
History

Head-to-head

1
Houston Dash W
3
Draws
6
Washington Spirit W

Washington Spirit W have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-07-04Washington Spirit W2-1Houston Dash W
  • 2025-09-28Washington Spirit W4-0Houston Dash W
  • 2025-03-15Houston Dash W1-2Washington Spirit W
  • 2024-09-15Washington Spirit W3-0Houston Dash W
  • 2024-04-13Houston Dash W1-3Washington Spirit W
BetGenius

Our record in NWSL

68%32 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Washington Spirit W or Draw
76%
Confidence

Washington Spirit have compiled an impressive away record of eight wins and three draws from 13 road fixtures, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per away match while keeping six clean sheets. In addition, Washington have won the last five consecutive meetings against Houston Dash. Backing the visitors to win or draw covers the rare possibility of Houston forcing a home stalemate while heavily respecting Washington's superior consistency and defensive strength.

GoalsWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Over 2.5 goals is well supported by both current season metrics and historical trends between these two clubs. Houston Dash average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per home game, creating high-event matches that average 2.8 total goals. Washington Spirit maintain an identical 1.6 goals-scored average on their travels, driven by Trinity Rodman who has 9 goals and 5 assists. Head-to-head history reinforces the expectation for at least three goals, as each of the last five meetings between the sides has produced three or more goals, including 2-1, 4-0, 2-1, 3-0, and 3-1 scorelines, with 70 percent of their last ten encounters clearing the 2.5 line.

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Published October 3, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.