BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Referee
Duncan Nicolson, Scotland
Form

Recent form

Kilmarnock
57Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Heart Of Midlothian
33Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw

BetGenius backs Heart Of Midlothian or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Kilmarnock welcome Heart of Midlothian to Rugby Park sitting at the foot of the Premiership table with four points from their opening six matches. The home side have struggled defensively on their own turf, losing all three of their home league encounters while conceding ten goals and scoring just once. Recent successive draws against Aberdeen have shown signs of stabilization, but breaking their home duck remains a significant hurdle.

Heart of Midlothian arrive in fine spirits, positioned third in the standings on twelve points. Hearts have put together a four-match winning run across recent outings, highlighted by high-scoring displays including a 3-1 derby victory away at Hibernian. With thirteen goals scored across six league matches, their attacking unit led by J. Wilson and J. McPake is proving potent.

While head-to-head history between these two sides has traditionally been tightly contested, featuring a low average of 1.9 goals per match across the last ten meetings, the stark contrast in league form gives the visitors the upper hand heading into this clash.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Heart of Midlothian have won their last four matches in all competitions, scoring ten goals in that span.
  2. Kilmarnock have failed to win any of their three home league games this season, conceding ten goals.
  3. Hearts sit third in the Premiership on 12 points, eight points ahead of 12th-placed Kilmarnock.
  4. Historical meetings between the teams tend to be low scoring, with 70% of the last ten encounters staying under 2.5 goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kilmarnock at homeHeart Of Midlothian away
5
Played
5
1-1-3
W-D-L
1-1-3
1
Scored /game
1.4
2.6
Conceded /game
2.6
0%
Clean sheets
0%
40%
Failed to score
0%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Kilmarnock at home plus Heart Of Midlothian away).

Players

Key players this season

Kilmarnock

  • G. Kiltie3G

Heart Of Midlothian

  • J. McPake3G · 5A
  • Cláudio Braga2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1CelticPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+1824
2RangersPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+620
3Heart Of MidlothianPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+516
4DundeePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+314
5ST JohnstonePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9012
6Dundee UtdPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9-112
8ST MirrenPremiership (Relegation Group)9-810
9FalkirkPremiership (Relegation Group)9-39
10MotherwellPremiership (Relegation Group)9-58
11KilmarnockPremiership (Relegation Group)9-108
12HibernianPremiership (Relegation Group)9-57
History

Head-to-head

3
Kilmarnock
3
Draws
4
Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-14Kilmarnock1-0Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2025-12-03Heart Of Midlothian1-1Kilmarnock
  • 2025-10-18Kilmarnock0-3Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2025-05-18Kilmarnock0-1Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2025-01-25Heart Of Midlothian3-2Kilmarnock
BetGenius

Our record in Premiership

58%39 won from 67 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw
76%
Confidence

Heart of Midlothian enter this match on a four-game winning streak and have scored 13 goals in six league fixtures this season. Kilmarnock sit 12th in the table and have lost all three of their home league matches so far, scoring only one goal. Although Kilmarnock have managed draws in their last two matches, Hearts possess the form and attacking edge to come away with at least a point.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.