BetGenius

Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Fri, Sep 11, 03:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Samara Arena, Samara

Recent form

Krylia Sovetov
58Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-4D-0L · +3 goal difference

Rodina Moskva
3Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -12 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Draw No Bet
Pick
Krylia Sovetov (draw no bet)
Confidence75%

BetGenius backs Krylia Sovetov (draw no bet) (Draw No Bet) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Krylia Sovetov enter matchday eight seeking to build on a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions. While four of those five fixtures ended in draws, the hosts have shown resilience in competitive outings, including a 2-2 draw with FC Krasnodar and a 0-0 stalemate against Zenit. With seven points from seven matches and sitting 12th in the Premier League table, they have an opportunity to move upward against a struggling opponent.

Rodina Moskva arrive in difficult form, having lost five consecutive matches in league and cup action. Sitting 14th in the relegation zone with four points and a -11 goal difference, the visitors have struggled defensively throughout the campaign, conceding 19 goals in seven league fixtures without managing a single clean sheet. They will also be without suspended forward G. Onugkha following a red card.

Given the contrast in stability, Krylia Sovetov hold the upper hand on home turf. Rodina Moskva's defensive vulnerabilities have seen them concede two or more goals in each of their last five outings, creating an advantageous setup for Krylia Sovetov's attack led by I. Oleynikov.

Key factors

  • Rodina Moskva are on a five-match losing streak across all competitions.
  • Rodina Moskva have failed to keep a clean sheet in all seven league games, conceding 19 goals in total.
  • Krylia Sovetov are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches with one win and four draws.
  • Rodina Moskva are without forward G. Onugkha due to suspension after receiving a red card.
  • Krylia Sovetov forward I. Oleynikov has contributed three goals and two assists in league play.

Team news

Krylia Sovetov

  • M. BanjacInjury

Rodina Moskva

  • G. OnugkhaRed Card

Statistical comparison

Krylia Sovetov at home vs Rodina Moskva away
3
Played
4
0-1-2
W-D-L
1-0-3
1
Scored /game
0.8
2.7
Conceded /game
2.3
Clean sheets
Failed to score
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Krylia Sovetov at home plus Rodina Moskva away).

Key players this season

Krylia Sovetov

  • I. Oleynikov3G · 2A
  • Y. Gorshkov3A

Rodina Moskva

  • A. Maksimenko3G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
9FC Rostov7-18
10FC Orenburg7-28
11Akhmat7+17
12Krylia Sovetov7-27
13LokomotivPremier League (Relegation)7-26
14Rodina MoskvaPremier League (Relegation)7-114
15AkronRelegation - FNL7-94
16FakelRelegation - FNL7-62

Our record in Premier League

79%23 won from 29 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Market
Draw No Bet
Pick
Krylia Sovetov (draw no bet)
Confidence75%

Krylia Sovetov have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, whereas Rodina Moskva have suffered five defeats in a row. Siding with the home team with the draw refunded addresses Krylia Sovetov's tendency to draw matches while capitalising on the visitors' poor run of results and defensive issues.

Combo Bet
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence68%

Rodina Moskva have conceded 19 goals across seven league matches, averaging 2.7 goals against per game, with four of their last five fixtures seeing three or more total goals. Krylia Sovetov have scored eight goals across their last four games, supporting a higher total goal expectation.

Featured
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Over 2.5 Goals + Krylia Sovetov (draw no bet)
Confidence68%

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Rodina Moskva have conceded 19 goals across seven league matches, averaging 2.7 goals against per game, with four of their last five fixtures seeing three or more total goals. Krylia Sovetov have scored eight goals across their last four games, supporting a higher total goal expectation.

Krylia Sovetov (draw no bet) — 75% confidence

Krylia Sovetov have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, whereas Rodina Moskva have suffered five defeats in a row. Siding with the home team with the draw refunded addresses Krylia Sovetov's tendency to draw matches while capitalising on the visitors' poor run of results and defensive issues.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and draw no bet), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published September 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.