Krylia Sovetov have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, whereas Rodina Moskva have suffered five defeats in a row. Siding with the home team with the draw refunded addresses Krylia Sovetov's tendency to draw matches while capitalising on the visitors' poor run of results and defensive issues.
Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva prediction
Checking status…Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-4D-0L · +3 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -12 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongBetGenius backs Krylia Sovetov (draw no bet) (Draw No Bet) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Krylia Sovetov enter matchday eight seeking to build on a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions. While four of those five fixtures ended in draws, the hosts have shown resilience in competitive outings, including a 2-2 draw with FC Krasnodar and a 0-0 stalemate against Zenit. With seven points from seven matches and sitting 12th in the Premier League table, they have an opportunity to move upward against a struggling opponent.
Rodina Moskva arrive in difficult form, having lost five consecutive matches in league and cup action. Sitting 14th in the relegation zone with four points and a -11 goal difference, the visitors have struggled defensively throughout the campaign, conceding 19 goals in seven league fixtures without managing a single clean sheet. They will also be without suspended forward G. Onugkha following a red card.
Given the contrast in stability, Krylia Sovetov hold the upper hand on home turf. Rodina Moskva's defensive vulnerabilities have seen them concede two or more goals in each of their last five outings, creating an advantageous setup for Krylia Sovetov's attack led by I. Oleynikov.
Key factors
- Rodina Moskva are on a five-match losing streak across all competitions.
- Rodina Moskva have failed to keep a clean sheet in all seven league games, conceding 19 goals in total.
- Krylia Sovetov are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches with one win and four draws.
- Rodina Moskva are without forward G. Onugkha due to suspension after receiving a red card.
- Krylia Sovetov forward I. Oleynikov has contributed three goals and two assists in league play.
Team news
Krylia Sovetov
- M. BanjacInjury
Rodina Moskva
- G. OnugkhaRed Card
Statistical comparison
Krylia Sovetov at home vs Rodina Moskva awayCombined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Krylia Sovetov at home plus Rodina Moskva away).
Key players this season
Krylia Sovetov
- I. Oleynikov3G · 2A
- Y. Gorshkov3A
Rodina Moskva
- A. Maksimenko3G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Rostov | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Orenburg | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Akhmat | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 | Krylia Sovetov | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | LokomotivPremier League (Relegation) | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Rodina MoskvaPremier League (Relegation) | 7 | -11 | 4 |
| 15 | AkronRelegation - FNL | 7 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | FakelRelegation - FNL | 7 | -6 | 2 |
Our record in Premier League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.3 published markets
Rodina Moskva have conceded 19 goals across seven league matches, averaging 2.7 goals against per game, with four of their last five fixtures seeing three or more total goals. Krylia Sovetov have scored eight goals across their last four games, supporting a higher total goal expectation.
Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence
Rodina Moskva have conceded 19 goals across seven league matches, averaging 2.7 goals against per game, with four of their last five fixtures seeing three or more total goals. Krylia Sovetov have scored eight goals across their last four games, supporting a higher total goal expectation.
Krylia Sovetov (draw no bet) — 75% confidence
Krylia Sovetov have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, whereas Rodina Moskva have suffered five defeats in a row. Siding with the home team with the draw refunded addresses Krylia Sovetov's tendency to draw matches while capitalising on the visitors' poor run of results and defensive issues.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and draw no bet), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
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Published September 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.