BetGenius

Lahti vs Mariehamn prediction

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Kickoff
Tue, Sep 8, 03:00 PM
Round
Relegation Group - 23
Venue
Lahden Stadion, Lahti

Recent form

Lahti
69Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference

Mariehamn
69Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +1 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
No + Lahti (draw no bet)
Confidence64%

BetGenius backs No + Lahti (draw no bet) (Combo Bet) at 64% confidence — a solid call.

Match preview

Lahti host Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga Relegation Group looking to consolidate their standing at the top of the section. The hosts sit in seventh place on 32 points from 22 matches, built on a robust defense that has conceded only 19 goals in total and just 10 across 11 home fixtures. Back-to-back league wins against SJK and VPS demonstrate steady form entering this round.

Mariehamn remain bottom of the standings in 12th position with 14 points, largely due to travel struggles that have yielded nine defeats from 11 away outings and 26 goals conceded. Despite that record, the visitors have won their last three consecutive matches across all venues, including a high-scoring 4-2 success at KuPS, indicating renewed fighting spirit.

Head-to-head encounters between these two have leaned toward the home side and lower scorelines. In their three competitive clashes during 2026 across league and cup action, Lahti were unbeaten with two clean-sheet victories and a 1-1 draw. Across the last 10 meetings between the sides, matches have produced an average of just 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in only 30 percent of those games.

Statistical comparison

Lahti at home vs Mariehamn away
11
Played
11
5-3-3
W-D-L
1-1-9
1.5
Scored /game
0.7
0.9
Conceded /game
2.4
45%
Clean sheets
0%
18%
Failed to score
64%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Lahti at home plus Mariehamn away).

Key players this season

Lahti

  • Tòfol Montiel2A
  • Y. Cassubie2A
  • R. Sans2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
4GnistanPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)22+736
5AC OuluPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)22034
6VPSPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)22+733
7LahtiVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)22+732
8Turku PSVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)22+531
9IlvesVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)22-325
10SJKVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)22-819
11FF JaroVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)22-2615
12MariehamnVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)22-2614

Head-to-head

Full record →
Lahti
5
Draws
4
Mariehamn
1

Lahti have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-08Lahti 2-1 Mariehamn
  • 2026-07-20Mariehamn 0-2 Lahti
  • 2026-05-26Mariehamn 0-1 Lahti
  • 2026-05-10Lahti 1-1 Mariehamn
  • 2026-03-05Mariehamn 4-0 Lahti

Our record in Veikkausliiga

60%12 won from 20 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
No + Lahti (draw no bet)
Confidence64%

No — 64% confidence

Lahti have maintained nine clean sheets across 22 league games and concede an average of only 0.9 goals per match. Mariehamn have failed to find the net in seven of their 11 away league fixtures. Head-to-head historical data strongly reinforces a low likelihood of mutual scoring, as both teams have scored in only three of the past 10 meetings, with Lahti keeping clean sheets in both competitive away trips to Mariehamn earlier this year.

Lahti (draw no bet) — 72% confidence

Lahti hold an 18-point advantage over Mariehamn in the standings and have suffered only three losses in 11 home fixtures this campaign. In contrast, Mariehamn have lost nine of their 11 away games in the league. While the visitors arrive with three straight wins, Lahti remain unbeaten against Mariehamn in three competitive meetings in 2026, winning two and drawing one. Removing the draw hazard accounts for Mariehamn's recent resurgence while backing the superior home side across the broader season profile.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and draw no bet), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Market
Draw No Bet
Pick
Lahti (draw no bet)
Confidence72%

Lahti hold an 18-point advantage over Mariehamn in the standings and have suffered only three losses in 11 home fixtures this campaign. In contrast, Mariehamn have lost nine of their 11 away games in the league. While the visitors arrive with three straight wins, Lahti remain unbeaten against Mariehamn in three competitive meetings in 2026, winning two and drawing one. Removing the draw hazard accounts for Mariehamn's recent resurgence while backing the superior home side across the broader season profile.

Combo BetLOST
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
No
Confidence64%

Lahti have maintained nine clean sheets across 22 league games and concede an average of only 0.9 goals per match. Mariehamn have failed to find the net in seven of their 11 away league fixtures. Head-to-head historical data strongly reinforces a low likelihood of mutual scoring, as both teams have scored in only three of the past 10 meetings, with Lahti keeping clean sheets in both competitive away trips to Mariehamn earlier this year.

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Published September 6, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.