BetGenius
Round
Relegation Group - 23
Venue
Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Referee
Matti Roth, Finland
Form

Recent form

Lahti
56Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Mariehamn
73Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
BTTS No + Lahti (draw no bet)

BetGenius backs BTTS No + Lahti (draw no bet) (Combo Bet) at 64% confidence — a solid call.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Lahti host Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga Relegation Group looking to consolidate their standing at the top of the section. The hosts sit in seventh place on 32 points from 22 matches, built on a robust defense that has conceded only 19 goals in total and just 10 across 11 home fixtures. Back-to-back league wins against SJK and VPS demonstrate steady form entering this round.

Mariehamn remain bottom of the standings in 12th position with 14 points, largely due to travel struggles that have yielded nine defeats from 11 away outings and 26 goals conceded. Despite that record, the visitors have won their last three consecutive matches across all venues, including a high-scoring 4-2 success at KuPS, indicating renewed fighting spirit.

Head-to-head encounters between these two have leaned toward the home side and lower scorelines. In their three competitive clashes during 2026 across league and cup action, Lahti were unbeaten with two clean-sheet victories and a 1-1 draw. Across the last 10 meetings between the sides, matches have produced an average of just 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in only 30 percent of those games.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lahti at homeMariehamn away
12
Played
12
6-3-3
W-D-L
1-1-10
1.6
Scored /game
0.8
0.9
Conceded /game
2.3
42%
Clean sheets
0%
17%
Failed to score
58%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Lahti at home plus Mariehamn away).

Players

Key players this season

Lahti

  • Martim Ferreira5G
  • Tòfol Montiel4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4GnistanPlay-offs22+736
5AC OuluPlay-offs22034
6VPSPlay-offs22+733
7LahtiRelegation Play-offs22+732
8Turku PSRelegation Play-offs22+531
9IlvesRelegation Play-offs22-325
10SJKRelegation Play-offs22-819
11FF JaroRelegation Play-offs22-2615
12MariehamnRelegation Play-offs22-2614
History

Head-to-head

5
Lahti
4
Draws
1
Mariehamn

Lahti have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-08Lahti2-1Mariehamn
  • 2026-07-20Mariehamn0-2Lahti
  • 2026-05-26Mariehamn0-1Lahti
  • 2026-05-10Lahti1-1Mariehamn
  • 2026-03-05Mariehamn4-0Lahti
BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
BTTS No + Lahti (draw no bet)
64%
Both must land · no better than

No — 64% confidence

Lahti have maintained nine clean sheets across 22 league games and concede an average of only 0.9 goals per match. Mariehamn have failed to find the net in seven of their 11 away league fixtures. Head-to-head historical data strongly reinforces a low likelihood of mutual scoring, as both teams have scored in only three of the past 10 meetings, with Lahti keeping clean sheets in both competitive away trips to Mariehamn earlier this year.

Lahti (draw no bet) — 72% confidence

Lahti hold an 18-point advantage over Mariehamn in the standings and have suffered only three losses in 11 home fixtures this campaign. In contrast, Mariehamn have lost nine of their 11 away games in the league. While the visitors arrive with three straight wins, Lahti remain unbeaten against Mariehamn in three competitive meetings in 2026, winning two and drawing one. Removing the draw hazard accounts for Mariehamn's recent resurgence while backing the superior home side across the broader season profile.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and draw no bet), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Draw No Bet
Lahti (draw no bet)
72%
Confidence

Lahti hold an 18-point advantage over Mariehamn in the standings and have suffered only three losses in 11 home fixtures this campaign. In contrast, Mariehamn have lost nine of their 11 away games in the league. While the visitors arrive with three straight wins, Lahti remain unbeaten against Mariehamn in three competitive meetings in 2026, winning two and drawing one. Removing the draw hazard accounts for Mariehamn's recent resurgence while backing the superior home side across the broader season profile.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
No
64%
Confidence

Lahti have maintained nine clean sheets across 22 league games and concede an average of only 0.9 goals per match. Mariehamn have failed to find the net in seven of their 11 away league fixtures. Head-to-head historical data strongly reinforces a low likelihood of mutual scoring, as both teams have scored in only three of the past 10 meetings, with Lahti keeping clean sheets in both competitive away trips to Mariehamn earlier this year.

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Published September 6, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.