BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 12
Venue
Polish Army Stadium, Warsaw
Referee
Szymon Marciniak
Form

Recent form

Legia Warszawa
83Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +10 goal difference

Lech Poznan
60Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Legia Warszawa or Draw

BetGenius backs Legia Warszawa or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Legia Warszawa host second‑placed Lech Poznan in a tight Ekstraklasa clash. Legia have been unbeaten in 11 league games, scoring 22 and conceding just nine, and their recent five matches include four wins, highlighted by a 5‑1 home victory over Korona Kielce. Lech sit one point above them with a strong attacking record – 27 goals in ten games – but have missed several key attackers, including forward A. Sayyadmanesh, due to injury.\n\nThe head‑to‑head record is evenly balanced, with five draws in ten meetings and each side winning twice. The most recent encounter was a 4‑0 win for Lech at home, but Legia’s solid home defence (0.6 goals conceded per match) and the absence of Lech’s main striker suggest a tighter game this time.\n\nBoth teams are likely to find the net, yet the combined defensive strengths point to a moderate goal tally rather than a goal‑fest.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Legia unbeaten in 11 league games and strong home defence (0.6 goals conceded per match)
  2. Lech’s away scoring average high (2.5) but key attackers injured, notably A. Sayyadmanesh
  3. Head‑to‑head balanced: five draws and two wins each in ten meetings
  4. Recent form: Legia won four of their last five, Lech have a single recent loss to Bayer Leverkusen
Availability

Team news

Legia Warszawa

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Lech Poznan

  • A. DouglasAnkle Injury
  • A. GholizadehKnee Injury
  • W. MonkaInjury
  • A. SayyadmaneshGroin Injury
  • R. GumnyInactive
  • J. MoutinhoInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Legia Warszawa at homeLech Poznan away
5
Played
4
3-2-0
W-D-L
3-0-1
2.4
Scored /game
2.5
0.6
Conceded /game
1.5
40%
Clean sheets
—
0%
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 4.9 goals per game (Legia Warszawa at home plus Lech Poznan away).

Players

Key players this season

Legia Warszawa

  • P. Wszołek6A

Lech Poznan

  • Pablo Rodríguez6G · 6A
  • P. Wålemark5G · 3A
  • A. SayyadmaneshGroin Injury5G
  • Joel Pereira4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Gornik ZabrzeQualifying12+1027
2Lech PoznanQualifying10+1825
3Legia WarszawaEL Qualification11+1323
4Pogon SzczecinPlay-offs10+921
5Zaglebie LubinPlay-offs12019
6GKS Katowice11+618
History

Head-to-head

2
Legia Warszawa
5
Draws
3
Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game.

  • 2026-04-26Lech Poznan4-0Legia Warszawa
  • 2025-10-26Legia Warszawa0-0Lech Poznan
  • 2025-07-13Lech Poznan1-2Legia Warszawa
  • 2025-05-11Legia Warszawa0-1Lech Poznan
  • 2024-11-10Lech Poznan5-2Legia Warszawa
BetGenius

Our record in Ekstraklasa

63%64 won from 102 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Legia Warszawa or Draw
68%
Confidence

Legia’s unbeaten run, strong home scoring average (2.4) and low home concession rate (0.6) give them a solid chance to avoid defeat. Lech’s away scoring average (2.5) is impressive but is tempered by several attacking injuries, reducing the likelihood of a clean win. The balanced head‑to‑head history and recent 4‑0 loss for Legia further support a double‑chance for the home side.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.