Lillestrom vs Valerenga prediction

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Eliteserien

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 12, 02:00 PM

Round

Regular Season - 21

Referee

R. Saggi

Recent form

Lillestrom

70Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference

Valerenga

45Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid

Market

Double Chance

Pick

Lillestrom or Draw

Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Lillestrom or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Lillestrom welcome Valerenga to Arasen Stadion for round 21 of the Eliteserien campaign. The hosts sit fifth in the table on 29 points from 19 matches, aiming to stay in the upper tier of the standings. Lillestrom enter the contest after picking up two successive victories in all competitions, including a 2-1 away win against Brann in their latest league outing.

Valerenga occupy 11th position with 22 points, having recorded six wins, four draws, and nine defeats across 19 fixtures. Their recent outings have seen a high volume of goals at both ends, including a 2-2 away draw with Sarpsborg 08 FF and a 4-3 home defeat against Molde. Defensive instability remains a clear issue for the visitors, who have conceded 40 goals in total and 22 in their nine away games.

Recent head-to-head records favour Lillestrom, who took a 2-0 victory when the sides met earlier in the season in April 2026. Across their last eight encounters, Lillestrom have secured four wins and three draws, losing only once.

Key factors

Lillestrom are unbeaten in their last three matches against Valerenga, winning all three including a 2-0 victory in April 2026.
Valerenga have conceded 22 goals in nine away league matches, averaging 2.4 goals against per game on the road.
Lillestrom sit seven points ahead of Valerenga in fifth place after 19 rounds of the Eliteserien season.
Valerenga have won only two of their nine away league fixtures this campaign.

Team news

Lillestrom

L. AlperudInjury
R. GabrielsenInjury
C. JebaraInjury
E. B. GarnasInjury
K. KrygardInjury

Valerenga

F. AmbinaMuscle Injury
M. SjoengKnee Injury

Statistical comparison

Lillestrom at home vs Valerenga away

Played

4-0-5

W-D-L

2-3-4

1.7

Scored /game

1.6

1.7

Conceded /game

2.4

11%

Clean sheets

11%

22%

Failed to score

33%

60%

BTTS (last 5)

100%

80%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

100%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Lillestrom at home plus Valerenga away).

Key players this season

Lillestrom

Vá5A

Valerenga

L. Haren8G
H. Bjørdal6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)	19	+24	44
3	TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	19	+12	35
4	MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	19	+9	33
5	Lillestrom	19	0	29
6	Rosenborg	19	+5	27
7	Brann	19	+8	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	-7	26
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	19	-3	24
10	Ham-Kam	19	-10	23
11	Valerenga	19	-7	22
12	Sandefjord	19	-8	20
13	Kristiansund BK	19	-10	19
14	KFUM OsloEliteserien (Relegation)	19	-13	19

Head-to-head

Full record →

Lillestrom

Draws

Valerenga

Lillestrom have won 4 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, only 38% went over 2.5.

2026-04-19Valerenga 0-2 Lillestrom
2023-10-22Lillestrom 2-0 Valerenga
2023-05-01Valerenga 3-4 Lillestrom
2022-09-04Valerenga 3-1 Lillestrom
2022-05-25Lillestrom 2-0 Valerenga

Our record in Eliteserien

79%19 won from 24 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

1 published market

Featured

Market

Double Chance

Pick

Lillestrom or Draw

Confidence74%

Lillestrom hold a strong record against Valerenga, winning each of their last three head-to-head meetings, including a 2-0 away victory in April 2026. Valerenga have struggled defensively on their travels, conceding 22 goals across nine away fixtures while winning only twice. Although Lillestrom are managing several injury absences such as Ruben Gabrielsen and Espen Garnas, their fifth-place standing and form advantage over 11th-placed Valerenga make backing them to avoid defeat a well-supported position.

Lillestrom vs Valerenga prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Lillestrom

Valerenga

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Lillestrom

Valerenga

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Eliteserien

1 published market

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