Over 2.5 Goals — 71% confidence
Both teams have participated in high-scoring contests in recent weeks. Liverpool have seen three of their last five matches produce four or more goals, including 2-2 draws against Nottingham Forest and Newcastle and a 3-2 loss to Monaco. Four of Atletico Madrid's last five games have also generated at least three goals. Furthermore, the five-match head-to-head history averages 3.6 goals per game, pointing toward another open contest.
Liverpool or Draw — 75% confidence
Liverpool have gone unbeaten in their last four matches and have scored at least twice in four of their previous five outings. Atletico Madrid showed defensive vulnerability in their 3-0 loss to Athletic Club and are missing attacking focal point A. Sorloth. With Liverpool winning two of the three home meetings in recent head-to-head history, the hosts are well placed to avoid defeat at Anfield.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.