BetGenius

Mirassol vs Palmeiras prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 30, 09:30 PM
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Referee
Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil

Recent form

Mirassol
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -6 goal difference

Palmeiras
73Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +7 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Palmeiras or Draw
Confidence84%

BetGenius backs Palmeiras or Draw (Double Chance) at 84% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Mirassol host league leaders Palmeiras in round 25 of the Brazilian Serie A, with both clubs operating at opposite ends of the standings. Mirassol enter this fixture in 17th position with 24 points from 23 matches, situated inside the relegation zone and winless across their last five fixtures in all competitions. Their defensive record remains a concern, having conceded 36 goals in 23 league matches while managing just a single clean sheet all season.

Palmeiras, in contrast, sit atop the table with 51 points and a +24 goal difference from 24 games. The league leaders boast an impressive away record, claiming seven wins and three draws from 12 road fixtures while conceding only 11 times. Backed by the offensive contributions of J. López (eight goals, four assists) and playmaker Andreas Pereira (10 assists), Palmeiras enter on a three-match winning streak across all competitions.

Historically, Palmeiras have held the advantage in this matchup, winning six of the previous nine meetings between the sides, including 1-0 victories in both Serie A and the Paulista championship earlier in 2026. Mirassol's home record of five wins in 12 matches offers some resilience, but the contrasting form and defensive solidity firmly favor the visitors.

Key factors

  • Palmeiras hold the best away record in the division with 7 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 defeats in 12 matches.
  • Mirassol have managed just 1 clean sheet in 23 league matches, conceding 36 goals overall.
  • Palmeiras have won 6 of the last 9 meetings against Mirassol, including both head-to-head fixtures in 2026 by 1-0 scorelines.
  • Mirassol are missing key personnel through injury and suspension, including Wallisson (red card) and Negueba (knee injury).

Team news

Mirassol

  • Edson CariocaInjury
  • Jose AldoMuscle Injury
  • NeguebaKnee Injury
  • WalterInjury

Palmeiras

  • JefteKnee Injury
  • PaulinhoMuscle Injury
  • R. SosaMuscle Injury
  • Arthur GabrielRed Card

Statistical comparison

Mirassol at home vs Palmeiras away
13
Played
13
5-4-4
W-D-L
7-4-2
1.3
Scored /game
1.8
1.5
Conceded /game
0.9
8%
Clean sheets
38%
15%
Failed to score
8%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Mirassol at home plus Palmeiras away).

Key players this season

Mirassol

  • Igor Formiga4A

Palmeiras

  • J. López8G · 4A
  • Andreas Pereira10A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+3054
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+2453
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+1045
4FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+845
5BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)26+843
13Santos25-132
14Botafogo25-331
15Gremio25-628
16Mirassol26-1128
17Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B25-1325
18InternacionalRelegation - Serie B26-625
19RemoRelegation - Serie B26-1323

Head-to-head

Full record →
Mirassol
2
Draws
2
Palmeiras
6

Palmeiras have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-08-30Mirassol 1-1 Palmeiras
  • 2026-03-15Palmeiras 1-0 Mirassol
  • 2026-01-17Palmeiras 1-0 Mirassol
  • 2025-11-09Mirassol 2-1 Palmeiras
  • 2025-07-16Palmeiras 1-1 Mirassol

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Palmeiras or Draw
Confidence84%

Palmeiras have been dominant at the top of the table with only two defeats in 12 away league fixtures, while Mirassol sit in the relegation zone and are without a win in their last five competitive outings. A double chance selection on Palmeiras covers potential resistance from the home side while remaining heavily supported by league form and historical head-to-head records.

More from BetGenius

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.