BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 32
Venue
José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirasol
Referee
Lucas Casagrande
Form

Recent form

Mirassol
66Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Sao Paulo
61Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Mirassol or Draw

BetGenius backs Mirassol or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Mirassol welcome Sao Paulo to the Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia for round 32 of Serie A, with both sides seeking crucial points at different ends of the table. Mirassol occupy 14th place with 36 points, looking to maintain distance from the relegation zone. Sao Paulo sit 9th on 42 points, aiming to strengthen their position in the Copa Sudamericana qualification places.

The dynamic of this clash is heavily influenced by venue splits. Mirassol have been dependable on their own turf, recording seven wins and five draws from 16 home matches while suffering only four defeats. In contrast, Sao Paulo have endured significant difficulties on their travels throughout the campaign, collecting only two victories and three draws while losing 10 of their 15 away matches.

Recent meetings between these teams in Mirassol also lean toward the hosts, who won the last two home encounters by identical 3-0 margins in January 2026 and October 2025. With Sao Paulo averaging only 0.7 goals per game on the road and missing several squad members including Ferreira, Buta, and D. Duarte, Mirassol possess the structural advantage to secure a positive result.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Sao Paulo have lost 10 of their 15 away matches in Serie A this season.
  2. Mirassol have been beaten only four times in 16 home league games, winning seven and drawing five.
  3. Sao Paulo average only 0.7 goals scored per away match and have failed to score in six away fixtures.
  4. Mirassol have won their previous two home encounters against Sao Paulo, both by 3-0 scorelines.
  5. Sao Paulo are missing multiple options through injury including Ferreira, Buta, and D. Duarte.
Availability

Team news

Mirassol

  • NeguebaKnee Injury
  • Jose AldoMuscle Injury
  • Andre LuisYellow Cards

Sao Paulo

  • ButaKnee Injury
  • D. DuarteKnee Injury
  • FerreiraInjury
  • N. BosshardtInactive
  • CaulyInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Mirassol at homeSao Paulo away
16
Played
15
7-5-4
W-D-L
2-3-10
1.4
Scored /game
0.7
1.3
Conceded /game
1.5
19%
Clean sheets
7%
13%
Failed to score
40%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Mirassol at home plus Sao Paulo away).

Players

Key players this season

Sao Paulo

  • J. Calleri10G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
7BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+549
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
History

Head-to-head

4
Mirassol
2
Draws
4
Sao Paulo

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 3.0 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-04-26Sao Paulo1-0Mirassol
  • 2026-01-11Mirassol3-0Sao Paulo
  • 2025-10-19Mirassol3-0Sao Paulo
  • 2025-05-24Sao Paulo0-2Mirassol
  • 2025-02-05Sao Paulo4-1Mirassol
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Mirassol or Draw
74%
Confidence

Mirassol have avoided defeat in 12 of their 16 home fixtures in Serie A, including consecutive 2-0 victories against Internacional and Botafogo in recent weeks. Sao Paulo have struggled considerably away from home all season, suffering 10 losses across 15 away trips and scoring just 11 goals in the process. Combined with Mirassol's strong record in this specific fixture, where they have won the last two home meetings, backing the home side to earn at least a point represents the most measured reading of the data.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.