BetGenius

ML Vitebsk vs Bate Borisov prediction

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Kickoff
Sun, Aug 23, 05:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 19
Venue
Vitebsk CSK, Vitebsk
Referee
D. Dmitriev

Recent form

ML Vitebsk
73Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference

Bate Borisov
53Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Match Winner
Pick
ML Vitebsk to win
Confidence72%

BetGenius backs ML Vitebsk to win (Match Winner) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

ML Vitebsk host Bate Borisov in the Belarusian Premier League, presenting a stark clash between title contenders and relegation battlers. ML Vitebsk sit in second place with 34 points from 15 games, boasting the league's top goal difference (+19) and suffering just a single defeat all season. Having conceded only 5 goals across 7 home matches, they have demonstrated strong defensive stability in front of their home supporters.

Bate Borisov find themselves in unfamiliar territory down in 14th place with 13 points from 16 matches. Their struggles on the road have been pronounced, having failed to secure a single away victory this campaign (0 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses) while managing just 4 goals scored in 8 away fixtures. Furthermore, they have failed to score in 5 of those 8 away outings.

Recent head-to-head history also strongly favours the hosts. ML Vitebsk have won three of the four recorded meetings, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season in April 2026 and a 2-0 win in January 2026. Given the significant gap in form and offensive output, ML Vitebsk enter this contest as clear favourites.

Key factors

  • ML Vitebsk sit 2nd in the table with 34 points (10W-4D-1L), compared to 14th-placed Bate Borisov with 13 points (2W-7D-7L).
  • Bate Borisov are winless in 8 away matches this league season, scoring just 4 goals and failing to score in 5 fixtures.
  • ML Vitebsk hold a strong head-to-head edge, winning 3 of the last 4 encounters including the most recent league fixture 2-1.
  • ML Vitebsk boast a sturdy home defensive record, conceding only 5 goals in 7 home games (0.7 per game).

Statistical comparison

ML Vitebsk at home vs Bate Borisov away
9
Played
10
3-5-1
W-D-L
0-6-4
1.3
Scored /game
0.4
0.7
Conceded /game
1.1
44%
Clean sheets
30%
33%
Failed to score
70%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 1.7 goals per game (ML Vitebsk at home plus Bate Borisov away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FC Isloch Minsk R.Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)20+1942
2ML VitebskPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)19+2140
3Dinamo MinskPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)19+2040
4FC Gomel21+1436
5Dinamo Brest21+1234
10Slavia Mozyr20-125
11Baranovichi21-1224
12Arsenal21-1322
13Bate Borisov20-917
14BelshinaVysshaya Liga (Relegation)20-1617
15FC Dnepr MogilevRelegation - Pershaya Liga21-1415
16NaftanRelegation - Pershaya Liga21-3510

Head-to-head

Full record →
ML Vitebsk
3
Draws
0
Bate Borisov
1

ML Vitebsk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game.

  • 2026-04-19Bate Borisov 1-2 ML Vitebsk
  • 2026-01-17ML Vitebsk 2-0 Bate Borisov
  • 2025-10-03Bate Borisov 1-0 ML Vitebsk
  • 2025-05-18ML Vitebsk 2-1 Bate Borisov

Our record in Premier League

50%16 won from 32 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Match Winner
Pick
ML Vitebsk to win
Confidence72%

ML Vitebsk have lost just once in 15 league fixtures and average only 0.7 goals conceded per home game. In contrast, Bate Borisov are winless away from home (0-5-3) and average a meager 0.5 goals scored per away game, having failed to score in 5 of 8 road matches.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.