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Sat 19 Sept · 19:15

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 9
Venue: Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
Referee: Pawel Malec, Poland

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Motor Lublin

60Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Gornik Zabrze

57Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Gornik Zabrze or Draw

BetGenius backs Gornik Zabrze or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Ekstraklasa leaders Gornik Zabrze travel to Arena Lublin to face sixteenth-placed Motor Lublin in matchday nine. The visitors sit at the summit of the table with twenty-one points from eight matches, having won seven of their league fixtures so far. Their away form has been flawless, recording four victories from four matches while conceding only twice on the road.

Motor Lublin find themselves in the relegation zone with five points from eight games, having won once, drawn twice, and lost five times. Their home record shows one win and three defeats, accompanied by an average of 1.8 goals conceded per home fixture. While K. Czubak provides a focal point in attack with five goals, defensive vulnerabilities have consistently hindered their progress.

Historical head-to-head encounters between the two clubs have leaned toward low-scoring affairs, averaging 1.5 goals per game across four meetings with neither side seeing both teams score in any of those fixtures. Gornik Zabrze enter this contest with substantial momentum, though Motor Lublin will look to replicate past defensive stability against the league leaders.

Analysis

Key factors

Gornik Zabrze sit top of the Ekstraklasa table with seven wins from eight matches and a flawless four-win away record.
Motor Lublin are placed sixteenth with five points and have suffered five defeats in eight league outings.
Gornik Zabrze have conceded only two goals in four away matches this season, averaging 0.5 goals against per game on the road.
Head-to-head meetings between these sides have averaged 1.5 goals per game, with zero occurrences of both teams scoring across four meetings.
K. Czubak leads Motor Lublin with five league goals, representing more than half of his team's total scoring output.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Motor Lublin at homeGornik Zabrze away

Played

2-1-3

W-D-L

5-1-0

1.2

Scored /game

1.8

1.5

Conceded /game

0.5

33%

Clean sheets

50%

33%

Failed to score

17%

80%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

80%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

20%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Motor Lublin at home plus Gornik Zabrze away).

Players

Key players this season

Motor Lublin

K. Czubak6G
M. Ndiaye3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Gornik ZabrzeQualifying	12	+10	27
2	Lech PoznanQualifying	10	+18	25
3	Legia WarszawaEL Qualification	11	+13	23
4	Pogon SzczecinPlay-offs	10	+9	21
8	Piast Gliwice	11	+2	17
9	Korona Kielce	11	-5	15
10	Wisla Plock	10	-5	14
11	Motor Lublin	12	-4	13
12	Cracovia Krakow	11	-3	12
13	Jagiellonia	10	-4	12
14	Widzew Łódź	12	-1	11

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

2
Motor Lublin: 1
Draws: 1
Gornik Zabrze

Motor Lublin have won 2 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 1.5 goals a game, only 25% went over 2.5.

2026-03-08Motor Lublin0-0Gornik Zabrze
2025-08-30Gornik Zabrze0-1Motor Lublin
2025-03-15Gornik Zabrze4-0Motor Lublin
2024-09-13Motor Lublin1-0Gornik Zabrze

BetGenius

Our record in Ekstraklasa

64%68 won from 106 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Gornik Zabrze or Draw

76%

Confidence

Gornik Zabrze hold a strong form profile, having won seven of their eight league fixtures and maintaining a perfect record of four wins from four away trips. In contrast, Motor Lublin have dropped points in seven of their eight matches, losing three of four at home. Backing the visitors on the double chance accounts for Lublin's competitive past record in this fixture while leaning on Gornik's superior points tally and defensive record of conceding just 0.5 goals per away game.

Explore

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Motor Lublin

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Ekstraklasa

1 published market

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