BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 14
Venue
Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 1.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 1.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Motor Lublin host Wisla Plock in Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 14, with the sides sitting 11th and 12th of 18 on 16 and 15 points. Lublin have been the more productive side this season, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, and they have scored 3 or more in three of their last five league and cup outings. Wisla have struggled to score, averaging 1.0 per game and failing to score in five of their 12 matches, though they have conceded 1.5 per game and kept three clean sheets.

The head-to-head sample is small at six meetings, but it averages three goals per game and has produced over 2.5 goals in four of them. Lublin's recent scoring has been strong, with a combined total of 19 goals in 13 games. Wisla's attack is the weak link, and that keeps the total below what the defensive numbers alone would suggest.

A rough blend of each side's attacking and defensive averages points to around 2.6 to 2.9 goals. That supports at least two goals in the match with reasonable confidence, but three or more is closer to a coin toss than a strong case, given Wisla's low scoring rate and Lublin's modest home attack of 1.3 per game.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Lublin concede 1.7 goals per game and Wisla concede 1.5, so both defences have been leaky this season.
  2. Wisla score only 1.0 goal per game and have failed to score in five of their 12 matches, which limits the total.
  3. Lublin's last five matches averaged 3.8 total goals, while Wisla's averaged 2.4.
  4. The head-to-head sample of six meetings averaged three goals and produced over 2.5 goals in four of them, though the sample is small.
  5. A rough blend of attacking and defensive averages points to about 2.6 to 2.9 goals, which supports two goals more clearly than three.
  6. Lublin sit 11th on 16 points and Wisla 12th on 15, so the table gives little clear edge to either side.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

Motor Lublin

3W 2D 0L · Goals 11–8

5 matches, 12 Oct to 30 Oct

72
Strong
WWDDWLatest →
  • atCracovia Krakow
    Ekstraklasa
    W2–1
  • vsRaków Częstochowa
    Cup
    D1–1
  • vsZaglebie Lubin
    Ekstraklasa
    D2–2
  • vsSlask Wroclaw
    Ekstraklasa
    W3–2
  • atRadomiak Radom
    Ekstraklasa
    W3–2
Away

Wisla Plock

2W 1D 2L · Goals 5–7

5 matches, 9 Oct to 31 Oct

52
Average
LWLWDLatest →
  • vsPiast Gliwice
    Ekstraklasa
    D2–2
  • atPuszcza Niepołomice
    Cup
    W2–1
  • atJagiellonia
    Ekstraklasa
    L0–1
  • vsRadomiak Radom
    Ekstraklasa
    W1–0
  • atWieczysta Kraków
    Ekstraklasa
    L0–3

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Starting lineups

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Motor Lublin: Ekstraklasa (2026); Wisla Plock: Ekstraklasa (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Motor Lublin at homeWisla Plock away
7
Played
7
2-2-3
W-D-L
2-1-4
1.3
Scored /game
0.9
1.6
Conceded /game
1.9
29%
Clean sheets
14%
29%
Failed to score
43%
100% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
40% (5 games)
80% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Motor Lublin at home plus Wisla Plock away).

Players

Key players this season

Motor Lublin

  • K. Czubak6G
  • M. Ndiaye4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
8Wisla Krakow13+221
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce13-518
11Motor Lublin13-316
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź13-211
15Radomiak Radom13-1411
History

Head-to-head

2
Motor Lublin
3
Draws
1
Wisla Plock

Motor Lublin have won 2 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

  • 2026-05-10Wisla Plock0-4Motor Lublin
  • 2025-11-08Motor Lublin1-1Wisla Plock
  • 2025-07-11Motor Lublin2-2Wisla Plock
  • 2025-01-10Motor Lublin2-1Wisla Plock
  • 2024-05-05Wisla Plock1-0Motor Lublin
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.

BetGenius

Our record in Ekstraklasa

63%80 won from 128 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Goals
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Both sides have been involved in plenty of goals this season. Lublin have conceded 1.7 per game, Wisla have conceded 1.5, and Lublin's last five matches averaged 3.8 total goals. The head-to-head has averaged three goals with over 2.5 in four of six meetings. Two goals in the match is the likelier outcome from these numbers. Over 2.5 is not picked because Wisla have scored just 1.0 per game and failed to score in five of 12 matches, and Lublin's home attack averages only 1.3, so a third goal is less than clearly supported by the evidence.

Featured
Double Chance
Motor Lublin or Draw
66%
Confidence

Motor Lublin are the marginally stronger side on the evidence: 16 points against 15, a better goal difference (-3 against -6), a better recent run, and a 4-0 win over this opponent in the most recent meeting. A home win is the single most likely outcome, but the margin is slim and Motor's home form is far from dominant, so the more supported position is that Motor avoid defeat rather than that they win outright. Confidence reflects a clear but narrow edge.

Featured
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
Confidence

Both sides have conceded at least 1.5 goals per game this season (Motor 1.7, Wisla 1.5), and Motor have failed to score in only two of their 13 games. Four of the six head-to-head meetings have seen both teams score, and the averages are 3 goals per game. The main caution is that Wisla have failed to score in five of their 12 games and average only 0.9 away from home, so a Wisla goal is not guaranteed on the evidence.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 4 Nov 2026, 19:30 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Motor Lublin: 4 Nov 2026, 19:25 WAT; Wisla Plock: 4 Nov 2026, 19:25 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 09:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published November 4, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.