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Sat 19 Sept · 13:00

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Referee
Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Osasuna
13Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -12 goal difference

Rayo Vallecano
50Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Osasuna or Draw

BetGenius backs Osasuna or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Osasuna welcome Rayo Vallecano to El Sadar in La Liga action, with both clubs sitting level on seven points in the middle of the table. Osasuna will be looking to bounce back after consecutive league defeats to Alaves and Espanyol, relying on their steady defensive foundation at home where they have conceded just two goals in three matches.

Rayo Vallecano travel to Pamplona seeking their first away points of the campaign following three consecutive defeats on the road against Sevilla, Barcelona, and Real Madrid. While Rayo have scored in every fixture so far, led by Sergio Camello with six goals, their defensive frailties away from home have seen them concede 11 goals across three away trips.

Historical trends heavily favor the hosts in this matchup. Osasuna remain unbeaten against Rayo Vallecano across their last five head-to-head clashes at home, collecting four victories and one draw in that span.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Osasuna are unbeaten in their last five home matches against Rayo Vallecano with four wins and one draw.
  2. Rayo Vallecano have lost all three of their away league fixtures this season, conceding 11 goals in total.
  3. Rayo Vallecano have missing personnel including suspended Jorge de Frutos and injured attackers Isi Palazon and Randy Nteka.
  4. Osasuna have conceded only two goals across three home league matches this campaign.
Availability

Team news

Osasuna

  • R. Del CastilloMuscle Injury
  • J. HerrandoMuscle Injury
  • A. OrozInjury
  • A. BonelInactive

Team news last updated Oct 18 (6 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Rayo Vallecano

  • A. BatallaBroken calfbone
  • Luiz FelipeKnee Injury
  • R. NtekaBack Injury
  • A. RatiuMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Osasuna at homeRayo Vallecano away
4
Played
5
1-2-1
W-D-L
0-2-3
0.5
Scored /game
1.2
0.8
Conceded /game
2.6
—
Clean sheets
0%
—
Failed to score
0%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 1.7 goals per game (Osasuna at home plus Rayo Vallecano away).

Players

Key players this season

Osasuna

  • A. Budimir7G

Rayo Vallecano

  • Sergio Camello7G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
7Alaves10+312
8Celta Vigo9+311
9Deportivo La Coruna9+111
10Osasuna9-811
11Levante9-210
12Villarreal909
13Athletic Club8-19
14Rayo Vallecano8-59
15Getafe9-69
16Espanyol9-18
17Racing Santander9-128
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
6
Osasuna
1
Draws
3
Rayo Vallecano

Osasuna have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-01-24Rayo Vallecano1-3Osasuna
  • 2025-09-14Osasuna2-0Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-01-19Osasuna1-1Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-09-16Rayo Vallecano3-1Osasuna
  • 2024-04-20Rayo Vallecano2-1Osasuna
BetGenius

Our record in La Liga

74%92 won from 125 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Osasuna or Draw
74%
Confidence

Osasuna have a dominant home record against Rayo Vallecano, going undefeated in their previous five home meetings with four wins and a draw. Rayo Vallecano have struggled on their travels this season, losing all three of their away fixtures and conceding an average of 3.7 goals per away match. Additionally, Rayo enter the fixture missing several key contributors through injury and suspension, including Jorge de Frutos and Isi Palazon. Backing Osasuna to avoid defeat covers both the home victory and the draw.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.