Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence
Palmeiras concede an average of only 0.7 goals per game at home and have kept 12 clean sheets across 28 league matches. Historical meetings between these sides average exactly 2.0 goals per match, with 60 percent of their last ten encounters finishing with under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in only 30 percent of those games.
Palmeiras or Draw — 78% confidence
Palmeiras have suffered only one loss in thirteen home league matches this season, winning nine and drawing three. In addition, head-to-head meetings at Palmeiras show four home victories from five games. Bahia have conceded 21 goals in 14 away trips, making a home result the most probable outcome while covering the possibility of a tightly contested draw against an opponent sitting fifth in the standings.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.