BetGenius

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 23, 07:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
Referee
Braulio Da Silva Machado, Brazil

Recent form

Palmeiras
73Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +7 goal difference

Vasco DA Gama
80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +5 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Palmeiras to win
Confidence76%

BetGenius backs Palmeiras to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

League leaders Palmeiras host 19th-placed Vasco DA Gama at home in Serie A action. Palmeiras currently sit at the top of the table with 48 points from 23 matches (14 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses), boasting a solid home record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 defeat with a +9 goal difference on their own ground.

In contrast, Vasco DA Gama are mired in the relegation zone in 19th position with 22 points. Their away form has been particularly troubling throughout the league campaign, having failed to record a single away victory (0 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats in 10 road fixtures) while conceding 17 goals.

Palmeiras also possess a clear upper hand in historical head-to-head encounters, having won 7 of the last 10 meetings between the sides, including 3 wins and a draw in their 4 home matches against Vasco across this sample.

Key factors

  • Vasco DA Gama have not won a single away league fixture this season (0 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses).
  • Palmeiras hold 1st place in the standings with 48 points, conceding only 8 goals across 11 home matches.
  • Palmeiras have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures against Vasco DA Gama.
  • Palmeiras' Andreas Pereira leads the side's playmaking with 9 assists this campaign.
  • Vasco DA Gama enter the match in the relegation zone (19th place) with a -11 goal difference.

Team news

Palmeiras

  • JefteKnee Injury
  • PaulinhoMuscle Injury
  • R. SosaMuscle Injury
  • Arthur GabrielRed Card

Vasco DA Gama

  • BrennerInjury
  • JairInjury
  • Mateus CarvalhoKnee Injury
  • CuiabanoInactive
  • J. RojasInactive

Statistical comparison

Palmeiras at home vs Vasco DA Gama away
12
Played
11
8-3-1
W-D-L
0-5-6
1.8
Scored /game
1
0.8
Conceded /game
1.9
33%
Clean sheets
9%
8%
Failed to score
27%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Palmeiras at home plus Vasco DA Gama away).

Key players this season

Palmeiras

  • J. López8G · 4A
  • Andreas Pereira10A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+3054
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+2453
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+1045
4FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+845
5BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)26+843
14Botafogo25-331
15Gremio25-628
16Mirassol26-1128
17Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B25-1325
18InternacionalRelegation - Serie B26-625
19RemoRelegation - Serie B26-1323
20Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B25-2317

Head-to-head

Full record →
Palmeiras
7
Draws
2
Vasco DA Gama
1

Palmeiras have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-23Palmeiras 4-1 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2026-03-12Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Palmeiras
  • 2025-10-01Palmeiras 3-0 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2025-05-04Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Palmeiras
  • 2024-09-22Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Palmeiras

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Palmeiras to win
Confidence76%

Palmeiras enter the match in 1st place with strong home stability (7-3-1), while Vasco DA Gama sit 19th and remain winless away from home in the league (0-5-5). With Palmeiras conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per home match and winning 7 of the last 10 head-to-head clashes, the hosts are strongly positioned to claim all three points.

More from BetGenius

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.