Palmeiras enter the match in 1st place with strong home stability (7-3-1), while Vasco DA Gama sit 19th and remain winless away from home in the league (0-5-5). With Palmeiras conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per home match and winning 7 of the last 10 head-to-head clashes, the hosts are strongly positioned to claim all three points.
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama prediction
Checking status…Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +7 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +5 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongBetGenius backs Palmeiras to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
League leaders Palmeiras host 19th-placed Vasco DA Gama at home in Serie A action. Palmeiras currently sit at the top of the table with 48 points from 23 matches (14 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses), boasting a solid home record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 defeat with a +9 goal difference on their own ground.
In contrast, Vasco DA Gama are mired in the relegation zone in 19th position with 22 points. Their away form has been particularly troubling throughout the league campaign, having failed to record a single away victory (0 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats in 10 road fixtures) while conceding 17 goals.
Palmeiras also possess a clear upper hand in historical head-to-head encounters, having won 7 of the last 10 meetings between the sides, including 3 wins and a draw in their 4 home matches against Vasco across this sample.
Key factors
- Vasco DA Gama have not won a single away league fixture this season (0 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses).
- Palmeiras hold 1st place in the standings with 48 points, conceding only 8 goals across 11 home matches.
- Palmeiras have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures against Vasco DA Gama.
- Palmeiras' Andreas Pereira leads the side's playmaking with 9 assists this campaign.
- Vasco DA Gama enter the match in the relegation zone (19th place) with a -11 goal difference.
Team news
Palmeiras
- JefteKnee Injury
- PaulinhoMuscle Injury
- R. SosaMuscle Injury
- Arthur GabrielRed Card
Vasco DA Gama
- BrennerInjury
- JairInjury
- Mateus CarvalhoKnee Injury
- CuiabanoInactive
- J. RojasInactive
Statistical comparison
Palmeiras at home vs Vasco DA Gama awayCombined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Palmeiras at home plus Vasco DA Gama away).
Key players this season
Palmeiras
- J. López8G · 4A
- Andreas Pereira10A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 26 | +30 | 54 |
| 2 | PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 26 | +24 | 53 |
| 3 | Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 26 | +10 | 45 |
| 4 | FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 26 | +8 | 45 |
| 5 | BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification) | 26 | +8 | 43 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 25 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Gremio | 25 | -6 | 28 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 26 | -11 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B | 25 | -13 | 25 |
| 18 | InternacionalRelegation - Serie B | 26 | -6 | 25 |
| 19 | RemoRelegation - Serie B | 26 | -13 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B | 25 | -23 | 17 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Palmeiras have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.
- 2026-08-23Palmeiras 4-1 Vasco DA Gama
- 2026-03-12Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Palmeiras
- 2025-10-01Palmeiras 3-0 Vasco DA Gama
- 2025-05-04Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Palmeiras
- 2024-09-22Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Palmeiras
Our record in Serie A
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.