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Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction

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Sun, Sep 13, 11:30 AM

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Panevėžys
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +4 goal difference

Kauno Žalgiris
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +11 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Kauno Žalgiris or Draw
Confidence76%

BetGenius backs Kauno Žalgiris or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Panevėžys welcome second-placed Kauno Žalgiris to Aukštaitija Stadium in round 31 of the A Lyga. The hosts enter this encounter on a three-match winning run, having defeated FK Žalgiris Vilnius 2-0 at home before securing back-to-back away victories over Banga (3-0) and Hegelmann Litauen (3-1). That resurgence has lifted them to 32 points from 27 matches, though they remain in the lower half of the standings.

Kauno Žalgiris continue their push near the top of the table with 45 points, trailing league leaders Sūduva Marijampolė by three points with a game in hand. The visitors have built their campaign on exceptional defensive discipline, conceding only 18 goals in 27 league outings while recording 13 clean sheets. Their recent form is formidable, featuring a 5-0 win over Džiugas Telšiai and a 5-1 rout of Sūduva.

On the road, Kauno Žalgiris have proved remarkably difficult to beat, suffering just one defeat across 11 away league fixtures with a record of five wins and five draws. With Panevėžys showing solid defensive metrics at home where they concede on average exactly one goal per game, this matchup presents a tight tactical test between two sides operating in good form.

Key factors

  • Kauno Žalgiris have suffered only one loss in 11 away league games this season, securing points in ten of those fixtures.
  • Kauno Žalgiris have won seven and drawn two of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these two clubs.
  • Kauno Žalgiris boast the division's strongest defensive record, conceding only 18 goals in 27 matches and keeping 13 clean sheets.
  • Panevėžys enter in solid form with three consecutive league victories, scoring eight goals and conceding only one across that span.
  • Meetings between these teams tend to be low-scoring, with 60 percent of their last ten encounters finishing with under 2.5 total goals.

Statistical comparison

Panevėžys at home vs Kauno Žalgiris away
13
Played
11
5-5-3
W-D-L
5-5-1
1.2
Scored /game
1.7
1
Conceded /game
0.8
23%
Clean sheets
36%
15%
Failed to score
18%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Panevėžys at home plus Kauno Žalgiris away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Suduva Marijampole26+1448
2Kauno Žalgiris25+3445
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius25+940
4TransINVEST Vilnius26+339
5Banga26+438
6Džiugas Telšiai27-238
7Panevėžys27-1332
8Hegelmann Litauen27-1724
9Šiauliai27-3216
10FK Trakai000

Head-to-head

Full record →
Panevėžys
1
Draws
2
Kauno Žalgiris
7

Kauno Žalgiris have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-07-11Kauno Žalgiris 3-0 Panevėžys
  • 2026-05-10Panevėžys 1-1 Kauno Žalgiris
  • 2026-03-10Kauno Žalgiris 4-0 Panevėžys
  • 2026-02-16Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Panevėžys
  • 2025-11-02Kauno Žalgiris 3-2 Panevėžys

1 published market

Featured
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Kauno Žalgiris or Draw
Confidence76%

Kauno Žalgiris have lost only once in 11 away league matches this season, posting five wins and five draws while allowing just nine goals on their travels. They also dominate the recent head-to-head record against Panevėžys, winning seven of the last ten meetings across all competitions and losing only once. While Panevėžys have won their last three league fixtures, Kauno Žalgiris possess superior overall defensive numbers, conceding 0.7 goals per game across the entire season compared to Panevėžys allowing 1.5 per game.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.