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Portsmouth
3W 2D 0L · Goals 7–4
5 matches, 14 Oct to 31 Oct
71
Strong
WWDWDLatest →
atBurnley
ChampionshipD0–0
vsMillwallChampionshipW2–1
atWolvesChampionshipD1–1
atNorwichChampionshipW1–0
vsSheffield UtdChampionshipW3–2
- Round
- Regular Season - 14
- Venue
- Fratton Park, Portsmouth
- Referee
- Matthew Corlett
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Our call
Our verdict
Combo Bet
Swansea or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
BetGenius backs Swansea or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 58% confidence — a moderate call.
58%
Confidence
Moderate
Preview
Match preview
Swansea visit Portsmouth as the second-placed side on 26 points, with a goal difference of +7. Portsmouth sit 11th on 19 points with a goal difference of +1. Swansea have won 8 of 13 overall and 4 of 6 away, and their last five include wins over Blackburn (4-0) and Norwich (2-1). Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last five, but three of those results were draws or narrow wins, and they have won only 3 of 6 at home.
The absence list points the same way. Portsmouth have six players flagged out (K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, C. Ogilvie and J. Swift), while Swansea have three (C. Burgess, Ronald and M. K. Yeo). The availability data is dated to kickoff day, so it should be current.
Goals are a more open question. Portsmouth have scored 10 and conceded 10 in their six home games, and Swansea have scored 9 and conceded 10 in their six away games. Both sides have been involved in high-scoring matches at these venues. The four previous meetings averaged 3 goals, with three of the four finishing over 2.5, although that is a very small sample.
Form
Recent form and results
Away
Swansea
3W 0D 2L · Goals 7–7
5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct
55
Average
WWLLWLatest →
vsBlackburnChampionshipW4–0
atQPRChampionshipL0–5
vsWest HamChampionshipL0–1- atMillwallChampionshipW1–0
- vsNorwichChampionshipW2–1
Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.
Teams
Lineups & team news
Portsmouth · 4-2-3-1
- 1 N. Schmid (G)
- 24 T. Devlin (D)
- 5 R. Poole (D)
- 55 M. Dia (D)
- 16 J. Meghoma (D)
- 38 E. Adams (M)
- 37 I. Mohamed (M)
- 27 O. Bailey (M)
- 10 A. Segecic (M)
- 17 T. Shade (M)
- 29 M. Milovanović (F)
Swansea · 4-3-3
- 22 L. Vigouroux (G)
- 26 F. Lissah (D)
- 3 J. Seelt (D)
- 23 S. Welsh (D)
- 14 J. Tymon (D)
- 17 Gonçalo Franco (M)
- 4 J. Fulton (M)
- 6 M. Stamenić (M)
- 30 Joseph Okopu (F)
- 33 A. Idah (F)
- 7 M. Widell (F)
PortsmouthSubstitutes (9)
- 22Z. SwansonD
- 31D. BielicaG
- 11A. KamaraF
- 25R. Kavuma McQueenF
- 20T. WaddinghamF
- 23J. MurphyM
- 7M. PackM
- 6C. ShaughnessyD
- 19R. SheinM
SwanseaSubstitutes (8)
- 5B. CabangoD
- 1A. FisherG
- 16Tom IorpendaM
- 8E. JustF
- 2J. KeyD
- 12J. MongaF
- 31R. StewartF
- 9Z. VipotnikF
Starting XIs reported by API-Football, fetched 3 Nov 2026, 20:42 WAT. These are reported lineups, not predicted selections. Late changes may follow.
Portsmouth
- K. AndersonOverload
- B. ArthurBack Injury
- C. BishopKnee Injury
- L. Brooke-SmithAnkle Injury
- C. OgilvieKnee Injury
- J. SwiftKnee Injury
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles Tendon Injury
- RonaldHamstring Injury
- M. K. YeoInjury
- S. EustaquioInactive
- M. StamenicInactive
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Venue records: Portsmouth: Championship (2026); Swansea: Championship (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.
A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.
Portsmouth at homeSwansea away
6
Played
6
3-1-2
W-D-L
4-0-2
1.7
Scored /game
1.5
1.7
Conceded /game
1.7
17%
Clean sheets
33%
17%
Failed to score
17%
60% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
20% (5 games)
40% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)
Combined scoring rate: 3.2 goals per game (Portsmouth at home plus Swansea away).
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | WolvesPromotion - Premier League | 14 | +8 | 27 |
| 3 | BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals) | 14 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals) | 14 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 | SwanseaPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 14 | +5 | 26 |
| 6 | West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 | SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 14 | +15 | 24 |
| 8 | West HamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 14 | +15 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | -1 | 18 |
History
Head-to-head
- 2
- Portsmouth
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Swansea
the last 5 meetings are split 2-2 with 1 drawn, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
- 2026-11-03Portsmouth3-1Swansea
- 2026-03-10Portsmouth1-2Swansea
- 2025-12-09Swansea1-0Portsmouth
- 2025-01-01Portsmouth4-0Swansea
- 2024-11-30Swansea2-2Portsmouth
Prices
Archived pre-match odds
Provider quote time: 3 Nov 2026, 17:26 WAT. Decimal prices. Historical quotes, not current offers. Coverage varies by selection; these are cached quotes, not a complete market survey.
Match Winner
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Away | 2.58 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.50 / 10 |
| Home | 2.99 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.84 / 10 |
| Draw | 3.30 · DafabetNamed quotes (5)
| 3.20 / 10 |
Double Chance
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Away | 1.36 · William HillNamed quotes (5)
| 1.33 / 8 |
| Draw/Away | 1.44 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.40 / 8 |
| Home/Draw | 1.55 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.49 / 8 |
Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.75 | 1.03 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.03 / 2 |
| Under 5.5 | 1.03 · BetanoNamed quotes (3)
| 1.02 / 3 |
| Under 4.25 | 1.04 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.04 / 2 |
| Under 4.0 | 1.05 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.05 / 2 |
| Over 0.5 | 1.09 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.06 / 6 |
| Over 1.0 | 1.11 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.05 / 3 |
| Under 4.5 | 1.12 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.07 / 7 |
| Under 3.75 | 1.21 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.13 / 3 |
| Over 1.25 | 1.25 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.19 / 3 |
| Under 3.5 | 1.26 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.24 / 7 |
| Under 3.25 | 1.28 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.26 / 3 |
| Over 1.5 | 1.42 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.38 / 7 |
| Under 3.0 | 1.46 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.33 / 5 |
| Over 1.75 | 1.49 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 1.45 / 4 |
| Under 2.75 | 1.53 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.49 / 5 |
| Over 2.0 | 1.67 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.63 / 6 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.71 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.67 / 8 |
| Under 2.25 | 1.93 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.88 / 5 |
| Over 2.25 | 1.96 · SBONamed quotes (5)
| 1.86 / 5 |
| Over 2.5 | 2.25 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 2.17 / 8 |
| Under 2.0 | 2.34 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.23 / 6 |
| Over 2.75 | 2.60 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.41 / 5 |
| Under 1.75 | 2.74 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 2.54 / 4 |
| Under 1.5 | 3.12 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.95 / 7 |
| Over 3.25 | 3.31 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 3.28 / 3 |
| Over 3.0 | 3.35 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 2.97 / 5 |
| Under 1.25 | 3.86 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 3.84 / 3 |
| Over 3.5 | 4.10 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 4.00 / 7 |
| Over 3.75 | 4.66 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 4.65 / 3 |
| Over 4.0 | 6.55 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 6.55 / 2 |
| Under 1.0 | 6.55 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (3)
| 6.55 / 3 |
| Over 4.25 | 6.95 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 6.95 / 2 |
| Under 0.75 | 7.20 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 7.20 / 2 |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 7.95 / 6 |
| Over 4.5 | 9.00 · BetVictorNamed quotes (5)
| 7.60 / 7 |
| Over 5.0 | 9.40 · 1xBetNamed quotes (1)
| 9.40 / 1 |
| Over 5.5 | 19.00 · Bet365Named quotes (4)
| 15.50 / 4 |
| Over 6.5 | 34.00 · Bet365Named quotes (3)
| 34.00 / 3 |
Both Teams Score
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.88 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.83 / 7 |
| No | 1.90 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 1.85 / 7 |
Bookmaker prices are separate from BetGenius confidence ratings. No opening price or odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot.
BetGenius
Our record in Championship
64%168 won from 261 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
3 published markets
Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
Swansea or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both must land · no better than
Swansea or Draw — 70% confidence
Swansea hold the stronger table position (2nd, 26 points) against Portsmouth (11th, 19 points), and the gap in form and squad availability supports them. Swansea have won 8 of 13 overall and 4 of 6 away, and they have conceded only 3 in seven home games, which shows how tight they are when they play at home. Portsmouth have lost 4 of 13 overall and have six players unavailable. My estimate is that a Swansea win alone is a little better than even, at around 52 percent, with a draw at around 18 percent and a Portsmouth win at around 30 percent. Together that supports the away-or-draw line at about 70. The main risk is that Portsmouth's home results have been close and a draw is a realistic outcome.
Over 2.5 Goals — 58% confidence
The venue-specific numbers lean towards goals. Portsmouth have averaged 3.3 goals per game at home (10 scored, 10 conceded in six games), and Swansea have averaged 3.2 per game away (9 scored, 10 conceded in six games). The league average is 2.93 goals per game. Across four previous meetings the average was 3 goals, and three of those four went over 2.5. Against this, Portsmouth have failed to score in 4 of 13 games and Swansea have kept four clean sheets at home, so a tight, low-scoring game is still plausible. The over is a moderate lean rather than a strong one.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Confidence
The venue-specific numbers lean towards goals. Portsmouth have averaged 3.3 goals per game at home (10 scored, 10 conceded in six games), and Swansea have averaged 3.2 per game away (9 scored, 10 conceded in six games). The league average is 2.93 goals per game. Across four previous meetings the average was 3 goals, and three of those four went over 2.5. Against this, Portsmouth have failed to score in 4 of 13 games and Swansea have kept four clean sheets at home, so a tight, low-scoring game is still plausible. The over is a moderate lean rather than a strong one.
Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
Swansea or Draw
70%
Confidence
Swansea hold the stronger table position (2nd, 26 points) against Portsmouth (11th, 19 points), and the gap in form and squad availability supports them. Swansea have won 8 of 13 overall and 4 of 6 away, and they have conceded only 3 in seven home games, which shows how tight they are when they play at home. Portsmouth have lost 4 of 13 overall and have six players unavailable. My estimate is that a Swansea win alone is a little better than even, at around 52 percent, with a draw at around 18 percent and a Portsmouth win at around 30 percent. Together that supports the away-or-draw line at about 70. The main risk is that Portsmouth's home results have been close and a draw is a realistic outcome.
Explore
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Combo bet: Multi bets · How multi bets work
- Over 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 predictions · How goals markets settle · Over 2.5 record
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
Teams around them in the table
About this data
Original prediction evidence is unavailable. Recent form, statistics and H2H above describe the latest cached context, which may differ from what was known before kickoff. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.
Team context last fetched: Portsmouth: 3 Nov 2026, 15:05 WAT; Swansea: 3 Nov 2026, 18:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 5 Nov 2026, 00:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.
Completed match: published prediction record
This match has finished. The published call is retained for review; see today’s predictions.
Published November 2, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.