BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Referee
S. Menzel
Form

Recent form

RB Leipzig W
84Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +10 goal difference

Mainz 05 W
21Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + RB Leipzig W (draw no bet)

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals + RB Leipzig W (draw no bet) (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

RB Leipzig W host Mainz 05 W in the Frauen-Bundesliga looking to build momentum after securing four points from their opening five league fixtures. Leipzig sit tenth in the standings and earned a 2-1 victory in their last home league fixture against Nürnberg W, supplemented by a 2-0 away win against Blau-Gelb Marburg W in their most recent outing.

Mainz 05 W find themselves at the bottom of the table in fourteenth position, having lost all five of their league games to date. The visitors have struggled at both ends of the pitch in league action, scoring three goals while conceding fourteen, including consecutive away league defeats against Bayern Munich W and SC Freiburg W without finding the net.

With Mainz yet to pick up a point in the league and Leipzig showing greater defensive solidity alongside key contributions from forward Emilía Kiær Ásgeirsdóttir, the hosts hold the upper hand heading into this clash.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

RB Leipzig W at homeMainz 05 W away
3
Played
3
2-0-1
W-D-L
0-0-3
2.3
Scored /game
0
1
Conceded /game
3.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (RB Leipzig W at home plus Mainz 05 W away).

Players

Key players this season

RB Leipzig W

  • A. Tuin3G
  • Emilía Kiær Ásgeirsdóttir2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4Bayer Leverkusen W7+313
5FC Koln W7+412
6Werder Bremen W6+210
7RB Leipzig W8010
8SC Freiburg W7-210
9Union Berlin W7-29
10Stuttgart W7-98
111899 Hoffenheim W6-36
12Hamburger SV W7-15
13Nürnberg WRelegation - 2. Bundesliga Women7-132
14Mainz 05 WRelegation - 2. Bundesliga Women7-210
BetGenius

Our record in Frauen-Bundesliga

83%25 won from 30 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetWON
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + RB Leipzig W (draw no bet)
68%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

The Frauen-Bundesliga has seen high-scoring fixtures this season with a league-wide average of 3.46 goals per game. Mainz 05 W have conceded fourteen goals across five league games, while Leipzig have allowed nine goals in the same span. With defensive vulnerabilities present on both sides, the matchup is likely to clear the 2.5 goal threshold.

RB Leipzig W (draw no bet) — 76% confidence

RB Leipzig W enter this fixture in superior league form compared to their opponents, having collected four points across their five matches. Mainz 05 W have suffered five defeats in five league rounds, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match and failing to score in both of their away league outings. Backing Leipzig in the draw no bet market provides protection in case of a level finish while reflecting the hosts clear competitive edge.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and draw no bet), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Draw No Bet
RB Leipzig W (draw no bet)
76%
Confidence

RB Leipzig W enter this fixture in superior league form compared to their opponents, having collected four points across their five matches. Mainz 05 W have suffered five defeats in five league rounds, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match and failing to score in both of their away league outings. Backing Leipzig in the draw no bet market provides protection in case of a level finish while reflecting the hosts clear competitive edge.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

The Frauen-Bundesliga has seen high-scoring fixtures this season with a league-wide average of 3.46 goals per game. Mainz 05 W have conceded fourteen goals across five league games, while Leipzig have allowed nine goals in the same span. With defensive vulnerabilities present on both sides, the matchup is likely to clear the 2.5 goal threshold.

GoalsWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Mainz 05 W have demonstrated significant defensive frailty across their league campaign, conceding 14 goals in five games for a 2.8 goals-against average, with four of their last five fixtures across all competitions producing three or more total goals. RB Leipzig W have also conceded regularly, shipping nine goals in five league matches and maintaining zero clean sheets. The league itself averages 3.46 goals per game, making the over 2.5 goals line well supported by the defensive records of both teams.

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Published October 1, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.