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Mon 5 Oct · 19:45

Romania vs Sweden prediction

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Round: League B - 4
Venue: Arena Națională, Bucharest
Referee: Elcin Masiyev, Azerbaijan

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Romania

23Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -8 goal difference

Sweden

61Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Sweden or Draw

BetGenius backs Sweden or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Romania host Sweden in round 4 of the UEFA Nations League League B campaign, looking to reverse a difficult sequence of results. Romania have endured a tough start to the group, losing all three of their matches while conceding 12 goals in total. Their recent home outing ended in a 4-2 defeat against Bosnia and Herzegovina, following a 2-1 loss away to Sweden in late September.

Sweden arrive with maximum points from their opening two group fixtures, having secured consecutive home victories against Romania and Poland by 2-1 and 3-1 scorelines respectively. Striker V. Gyökeres has been in strong form, registering three goals across those matches as Sweden scored five times in two fixtures.

Analysis

Key factors

Sweden have won both of their group matches so far, scoring five goals across victories over Romania and Poland.
Romania have lost all three group fixtures, conceding 12 goals in total across that stretch.
Sweden defeated Romania 2-1 in their previous meeting on 25 September 2026.
V. Gyökeres has scored three goals in two matches for Sweden in the current competition.
Romania conceded four goals in their only home fixture of the group against Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Availability

Team news

Romania

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Sweden

I. HienMuscle Bruise

Team news last updated Jun 15 (133 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Romania at homeSweden away

Played

0-0-1

W-D-L

0-1-0

—

Scored /game

—

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

80%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Players

Key players this season

Sweden

V. Gyökeres4G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

1
Romania: 0
Draws: 3
Sweden

Sweden have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game.

2026-09-25Sweden2-1Romania
2019-11-15Romania0-2Sweden
2019-03-23Sweden2-1Romania
2018-03-27Romania1-0Sweden

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Sweden or Draw

76%

Confidence

Sweden enter this fixture having won both of their Nations League matches this campaign, including a 2-1 victory over Romania in late September. Romania have struggled defensively throughout the competition, conceding an average of four goals per match across three consecutive defeats. Sweden have displayed reliable finishing through V. Gyökeres, who has three goals in two games, giving the visitors a strong probability of securing at least a point in Bucharest.

Explore

Romania vs Sweden prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Romania

Sweden

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Sweden

Head-to-head

Our record in UEFA Nations League

1 published market

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