Sweden

Sweden enter this fixture having won both of their Nations League matches this campaign, including a 2-1 victory over Romania in late September. Romania have struggled defensively throughout the competition, conceding an average of four goals per match across three consecutive defeats. Sweden have displayed reliable finishing through V. Gyökeres, who has three goals in two games, giving the visitors a strong probability of securing at least a point in Bucharest.

Four of Sweden's last five matches have produced three or more goals, including scorelines of 0-3, 1-5, 5-1, and 2-2. Poland have seen over 2.5 goals land in four of their last five fixtures as well, featuring results of 2-2, 2-3, 2-1, and 3-2. Furthermore, two of their last three head-to-head encounters ended in identical 3-2 scorelines, generating an average of four goals per game. Given the consistent attacking efficiency and open defensive records on both sides, the evidence supports a match total of three or more goals over the lower line.

Sweden or Draw — 73% confidence

Sweden hold a solid record at home against Poland, winning both previous meetings on home soil by 3-2 scorelines. Poland enter this fixture without a win in three matches, conceding seven goals across that span, which tilts the balance toward Sweden securing at least a point.

BTTS Yes — 68% confidence

Both teams have demonstrated potent attacks paired with fragile defensive records. Sweden have conceded in each of their last five matches, while Poland have allowed two or more goals in four of their last five games. Head-to-head meetings have averaged four goals per game, with both teams scoring in two of their three previous encounters.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both teams have demonstrated potent attacks paired with fragile defensive records. Sweden have conceded in each of their last five matches, while Poland have allowed two or more goals in four of their last five games. Head-to-head meetings have averaged four goals per game, with both teams scoring in two of their three previous encounters.

Sweden hold a solid record at home against Poland, winning both previous meetings on home soil by 3-2 scorelines. Poland enter this fixture without a win in three matches, conceding seven goals across that span, which tilts the balance toward Sweden securing at least a point.