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Thu 8 Oct · 23:30

Santos vs Flamengo prediction

Round
Regular Season - 29
Venue
Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Referee
Anderson Daronco, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Santos
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference

Flamengo
77Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Flamengo or Draw + BTTS Yes

BetGenius backs Flamengo or Draw + BTTS Yes (Combo Bet) at 72% confidence — a solid call.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

League leaders Flamengo travel to face eighth-placed Santos in Serie A round 29 action. Flamengo have set the pace in the division with 60 points from 28 matches, supported by the league's most potent attack boasting 55 goals scored and an impressive away record of eight wins and three draws from 14 outings.

Santos enter this clash in competitive form having claimed four wins from their last five league fixtures, scoring two goals in each of those matches. However, the hosts face a significant test of depth with Neymar, Arthur Melo, Vinicius Lira, and Gabriel Brazao sidelined through injury.

Historical encounters between these two Brazilian sides have consistently produced attacking affairs, with Flamengo winning seven of the last ten meetings. With both attacks regularly finding the net and key positions at stake in the table, an open contest is anticipated at the Urbano Caldeira.

Availability

Team news

Santos

  • Arthur MeloMuscle Injury
  • Gabriel BrazaoShoulder Injury
  • Vinicius LiraKnee Injury
  • Lucas VerissimoInjury
  • G. EscobarInactive

Flamengo

  • Ayrton LucasThigh Injury
  • Evertton AraujoThigh Injury
  • G. de ArrascaetaWrist Injury
  • DaniloInactive
  • S. NiguezInactive

Team news last updated Oct 18 (6 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Santos at homeFlamengo away
15
Played
5
6-5-4
W-D-L
2-3-0
1.5
Scored /game
1.2
1.3
Conceded /game
0.4
20%
Clean sheets
60%
13%
Failed to score
20%
100%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.7 goals per game (Santos at home plus Flamengo away).

Players

Key players this season

Santos

  • Gabriel Barbosa15G

Flamengo

  • Pedro16G · 6A
  • Samuel Lino9G · 8A
  • J. Carrascal8A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
7BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+549
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
History

Head-to-head

3
Santos
0
Draws
7
Flamengo

Flamengo have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-04-05Flamengo3-1Santos
  • 2025-11-09Flamengo3-2Santos
  • 2025-07-16Santos1-0Flamengo
  • 2023-11-01Flamengo1-2Santos
  • 2023-06-25Santos2-3Flamengo
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetWON
Combo Bet
Flamengo or Draw + BTTS Yes
72%
Both must land · no better than

Flamengo or Draw — 76% confidence

Flamengo sit top of the standings with 18 wins from 28 matches and have suffered only three away defeats in 14 road trips this season. Santos are in solid form but carry significant injury absences and have lost seven of their last ten head-to-head encounters against the league leaders, making the visitors well-placed to secure at least a point.

BTTS Yes — 72% confidence

Both teams feature reliable attacking outlets, with Santos scoring exactly two goals in each of their last five matches and Gabriel Barbosa leading their line with 13 goals. Flamengo average 1.9 goals per game away from home, led by Pedro with 16 goals, and seven of the last ten meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
Confidence

Both teams feature reliable attacking outlets, with Santos scoring exactly two goals in each of their last five matches and Gabriel Barbosa leading their line with 13 goals. Flamengo average 1.9 goals per game away from home, led by Pedro with 16 goals, and seven of the last ten meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Flamengo or Draw
76%
Confidence

Flamengo sit top of the standings with 18 wins from 28 matches and have suffered only three away defeats in 14 road trips this season. Santos are in solid form but carry significant injury absences and have lost seven of their last ten head-to-head encounters against the league leaders, making the visitors well-placed to secure at least a point.

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Published October 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.