Sao Paulo or Draw — 76% confidence
Sao Paulo have been resilient at home throughout the campaign, suffering only two defeats in 12 matches while scoring 20 goals and conceding 10. Internacional have struggled for consistency on their travels, losing five of 13 away outings and sitting in 18th position in the standings. Covering the home win and the draw provides a well-supported position based on venue splits.
Under 2.5 Goals — 67% confidence
Sao Paulo concede an average of just 0.8 goals per home league match and have seen four of their last five fixtures across all competitions produce two goals or fewer. While Internacional average 1.1 goals scored away from home, Sao Paulo's defensive record at the Morumbi points towards a tightly contested affair.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.