Sevilla have collected seven points from their opening four matches and have scored in each one, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Valencia sit 20th in the table with only one point, having lost three of their four league games while dealing with nine reported injuries across their squad. Five of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have ended level, making the double chance on Sevilla a well-supported position that covers both a home win and a share of the points.
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -9 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongBetGenius backs Sevilla or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Sevilla welcome Valencia to the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan in matchday five of La Liga, with the two clubs experiencing contrasting starts to the domestic season. Sevilla enter the fixture in sixth place with seven points from four matches, having picked up victories against Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club alongside a draw at Espanyol. Their only defeat came against Atletico Madrid, and they have scored in every competitive fixture played so far.
Valencia travel south in search of stability after a difficult start that leaves them bottom of the standings in 20th place with a single point. Los Che have managed just one goal across four league matches and conceded nine, including a heavy 5-0 home loss to Barcelona in their most recent outing. The visitors are also heavily depleted by a long injury list affecting several regular contributors.
Historically, this fixture has produced tight and competitive encounters, with five draws across the last ten meetings between the sides. However, Sevilla's offensive consistency and home advantage give them an edge against a Valencia side struggling for goals and defensive cohesion.
Key factors
- Sevilla have scored in all four of their league matches this season, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
- Valencia sit bottom of La Liga with one point from four matches, having scored only one goal and failed to score in three fixtures.
- Valencia have nine players listed as unavailable due to injury, including S. Canos, U. Sadiq, and M. Diakhaby.
- Eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Sevilla and Valencia have finished with under 2.5 total goals.
- Five of the last ten encounters between the two clubs have resulted in draws.
Team news
Sevilla
- R. VargasAnkle Injury
- MarcaoFoot Injury
- A. SanganteRed Card
Valencia
- S. CanosKnee Injury
- J. CopeteAnkle Injury
- D. FoulquierInjury
- D. LopezKnee Injury
- U. SadiqMuscle Injury
- J. De HaasAnkle Injury
- M. DiakhabyInjury
- L. RiojaInjury
- G. RodriguezMuscle Injury
Statistical comparison
Sevilla at home vs Valencia awayTable context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real MadridChampions League league stage | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real BetisChampions League league stage | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Deportivo La CorunaEuropa League league stage | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 | SevillaECL Playoffs | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Atletico Madrid | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Villarreal | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | MalagaRelegation | 4 | -6 | 2 |
| 19 | ElcheRelegation | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | ValenciaRelegation | 4 | -8 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Valencia have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
- 2026-03-21Sevilla 0-2 Valencia
- 2025-12-07Valencia 1-1 Sevilla
- 2025-04-11Valencia 1-0 Sevilla
- 2025-01-11Sevilla 1-1 Valencia
- 2024-02-17Valencia 0-0 Sevilla
Our record in La Liga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.3 published markets
Head-to-head history heavily points towards lower-scoring affairs, with 80 percent of the last ten meetings staying under the 2.5-goal threshold and generating an average of 2.0 goals per match. Valencia have consistently set up in a 5-4-1 formation and have struggled to generate attacking output, failing to score in three of their four league fixtures this season.
Under 2.5 Goals — 67% confidence
Head-to-head history heavily points towards lower-scoring affairs, with 80 percent of the last ten meetings staying under the 2.5-goal threshold and generating an average of 2.0 goals per match. Valencia have consistently set up in a 5-4-1 formation and have struggled to generate attacking output, failing to score in three of their four league fixtures this season.
Sevilla or Draw — 78% confidence
Sevilla have collected seven points from their opening four matches and have scored in each one, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Valencia sit 20th in the table with only one point, having lost three of their four league games while dealing with nine reported injuries across their squad. Five of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have ended level, making the double chance on Sevilla a well-supported position that covers both a home win and a share of the points.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
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Published September 10, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.