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Wed 21 Oct · 11:00

Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction

Follow Shimizu S-pulse Follow Machida Zelvia Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 11
Venue: IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
Referee: Yuzo Sutani

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Shimizu S-pulse

60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference

Machida Zelvia

87Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Machida Zelvia or Draw

BetGenius backs Machida Zelvia or Draw (Double Chance) at 84% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

84%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Machida Zelvia arrive in Shimizu as the league leaders with a flawless away record, four wins and a single draw in five trips and an impressive 2.8 goals per game average. Shimizu S‑pulse sit tenth, having earned 14 points, and while they have shown a recent surge with three wins in their last five, their home scoring has stalled at just one goal per match on average.

Head‑to‑head meetings have been high‑scoring, averaging 3.33 goals, and 83% of the six encounters have gone over 2.5 goals. Despite both sides keeping clean sheets frequently, Machida’s potent attack combined with Shimizu’s modest home defence suggests another open game.

With Machida’s strong away form and Shimizu’s improved recent run, the visitors are the clear favourites, yet a draw remains a realistic possibility given Shimizu’s home resilience in past fixtures.

Analysis

Key factors

Machida unbeaten away (4‑1‑0) with 2.8 goals per game
Shimizu home scoring average 1.0 goal per match
League gap: Machida 23 points, Shimizu 14 points after 10 games
Head‑to‑head: 83% of matches over 2.5 goals, avg 3.33 goals
Both teams have strong recent defensive records (clean sheets) but Machida’s attack is superior

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Shimizu S-pulse at homeMachida Zelvia away

Played

2-2-2

W-D-L

4-1-0

Scored /game

2.8

Conceded /game

0.6

17%

Clean sheets

40%

33%

Failed to score

80%

BTTS (last 5)

20%

80%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.8 goals per game (Shimizu S-pulse at home plus Machida Zelvia away).

Players

Key players this season

Machida Zelvia

T. Nishimura5G
Y. Soma4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Machida ZelviaPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)	11	+20	26
2	FC TokyoPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)	11	+13	24
3	Sanfrecce HiroshimaPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)	11	+15	23
4	Vissel Kobe	11	+7	22
8	Urawa	11	-3	18
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	11	+4	17
10	Fagiano Okayama	11	-1	16
11	Shimizu S-pulse	11	-6	14
12	Nagoya Grampus	11	-4	13
13	Cerezo Osaka	11	-7	13
14	V-varen Nagasaki	11	-3	12

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

3
Shimizu S-pulse: 1
Draws: 2
Machida Zelvia

Shimizu S-pulse have won 3 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

2025-07-05Machida Zelvia3-0Shimizu S-pulse
2025-05-11Shimizu S-pulse2-2Machida Zelvia
2023-08-19Shimizu S-pulse3-2Machida Zelvia
2023-05-21Machida Zelvia2-1Shimizu S-pulse
2016-10-08Shimizu S-pulse2-0Machida Zelvia

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Machida Zelvia or Draw

84%

Confidence

Machida’s unbeaten away record (4‑1‑0) and high scoring rate (2.8 goals per away game) contrast with Shimizu’s average home output of one goal and a modest defensive record (1 goal conceded per home game). The league table shows a nine‑point gap between the teams, reinforcing the visitors’ edge. Recent head‑to‑head meetings have produced over 2.5 goals in five of six games, indicating an open contest. While Shimizu have won three of their last five at home, they have also drawn once, making a draw plausible. The combination of Machida’s attacking strength and Shimizu’s home form supports a double‑chance for Machida to avoid defeat.

Explore

Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Machida Zelvia

Table context

Head-to-head

1 published market

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