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Sun 4 Oct · 16:00

Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United prediction

Follow Shooting StarsFollow Nasarawa UnitedFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Lekan Salami Stadium, Ibadan

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Shooting Stars
46Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -2 goal difference

Nasarawa United
75Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Shooting Stars or Draw

BetGenius backs Shooting Stars or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Shooting Stars return to Ibadan aiming to maintain their perfect home record in the NPFL when they host Nasarawa United. The hosts sit sixteenth in the standings with six points from five matches, having won both of their home fixtures while suffering three defeats on the road.

Nasarawa United occupy fourteenth position with seven points from six matches. While they have performed steadily on their own turf with two wins and a draw, their away form has been difficult, losing all three road fixtures and conceding seven goals across those trips.

Head-to-head history heavily favours the home side in this matchup. Shooting Stars have won all five previous home encounters against Nasarawa United in the recorded head-to-head sample, highlighting how influential venue advantage has been in this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Shooting Stars have won both of their home league fixtures this season, scoring four goals and conceding one.
  2. Nasarawa United have lost all three away matches in the NPFL this campaign, conceding seven times.
  3. Shooting Stars have won all five head-to-head meetings hosted in Ibadan.
  4. Nine of the last ten meetings between the sides have stayed under 2.5 total goals, averaging 1.9 goals per match.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Shooting Stars at homeNasarawa United away
5
Played
5
3-2-0
W-D-L
1-1-3
1.4
Scored /game
1
0.4
Conceded /game
1.4
60%
Clean sheets
40%
40%
Failed to score
20%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Shooting Stars at home plus Nasarawa United away).

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3Sporting LagosPromotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)9+215
4Plateau UnitedPromotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)9+414
5Barau FC9+314
6Nasarawa United9+214
7Kano Pillars9+114
8Doma United9014
9Ikorodu City9+212
12Katsina United9-212
13Kwara United9011
14Warri Wolves9-111
15Shooting Stars9-211
16Abia Warriors9-310
17Kun Khalifat FCRelegation9-79
18EnyimbaRelegation9-38
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
5
Shooting Stars
1
Draws
4
Nasarawa United

Shooting Stars have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 10% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-03Shooting Stars3-2Nasarawa United
  • 2025-12-08Nasarawa United1-0Shooting Stars
  • 2025-01-29Shooting Stars2-0Nasarawa United
  • 2024-09-08Nasarawa United1-1Shooting Stars
  • 2023-04-29Nasarawa United1-0Shooting Stars
BetGenius

Our record in NPFL

75%102 won from 136 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Shooting Stars or Draw
78%
Confidence

Shooting Stars have shown strong form at home this season, securing two victories from two games with four goals scored and only one conceded. Nasarawa United have struggled when travelling, losing all three of their away games while conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match. Furthermore, Shooting Stars have won all five home head-to-head matches against Nasarawa United. With nine of the ten recorded meetings between these sides producing two goals or fewer and an overall head-to-head average of 1.9 goals, backing the hosts to avoid defeat aligns well with the low-scoring trends of the fixture.

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Published October 3, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.