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Sparta Praha
1W 2D 2L · Goals 5–4
5 matches, 18 Oct to 1 Nov
43
Poor
DLWLDLatest →
atBohemians 1905
Czech LigaD0–0
vsBaník Ostrava
CupL0–2
vsSlováckoCzech LigaW5–1
atOlympiakos Piraeus
UEFA Europa LeagueL0–1- atBaník OstravaCzech LigaD0–0
- Round
- League Stage - 4
- Venue
- Stadion Letná, Prague
- Referee
- Erik Lambrechts
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
Bournemouth or Draw
BetGenius backs Bournemouth or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview
Match preview
Bournemouth arrive as the stronger side on the evidence available. They sit third of 36 in the Europa League league phase with nine points from three games and a goal difference of +7, and they have won all three of their matches in the competition, scoring eight and conceding once. Their domestic position is eighth of 20 in the Premier League, and they have won their last three games in all competitions. Sparta Praha are 16th of 36 with four points and a goal difference of +2. They are fourth of 16 in the Czech Liga, but their European form has been thin: they scored in none of their three Europa League games and lost 1-0 to Olympiakos Piraeus in their last one.
Sparta's scoring is the main concern for the home side. In their last five matches in all competitions they failed to score in four, with their only goals coming in a 5-1 win over Slovácko. Bournemouth have kept two clean sheets in their three Europa League games and have conceded only once in that competition, so a low-scoring match with a Bournemouth win or a draw is the most likely shape of this fixture on the evidence provided.
No head-to-head record was supplied for these two sides, so the assessment rests on current form, the competition table and the squads' scoring and conceding patterns. Injury lists for both clubs are dated the same day as the fixture, so they are reasonably current, though Sparta's list is long at seven names and Bournemouth's includes several players recorded as off the roster.
Analysis
Key factors
- Bournemouth have won all three Europa League games, scoring eight and conceding one, and are third of 36 in the league phase table.
- Sparta Praha have failed to score in four of their last five matches in all competitions and average only one goal per game at home in this competition.
- Bournemouth have kept two clean sheets in three Europa League matches, which limits Sparta's chances of finding a goal.
- Sparta are fourth of 16 in the Czech Liga, so their domestic level is solid, but their European results have been poor.
- No head-to-head record was supplied, so the assessment relies on current form, the standings and scoring patterns.
- Both squads have injury and availability lists dated the same day as the fixture, with Sparta's list longer at seven names.
Form
Recent form and results
Away
Bournemouth
5W 0D 0L · Goals 13–0
5 matches, 18 Oct to 31 Oct
98
Excellent
WWWWWLatest →
vsLeeds
Premier LeagueW2–0
vsAston Villa
League CupW3–0
atManchester UnitedPremier LeagueW3–0
vsAC MilanUEFA Europa LeagueW3–0
vsSunderlandPremier LeagueW2–0
Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.
Teams
Lineups & team news
Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.
Sparta Praha
- M. AndersenKnee Injury
- A. KarabecAnkle Injury
- J. MercadoCalf Injury
- O. PenxaKnee Injury
- M. RynesAnkle Injury
- A. SevinskyInjury
- E. UchennaGroin Injury
Bournemouth
- M. AaronsOff the roster
- J. AraujoThigh Injury
- F. ForsterOff the roster
- D. JebbisonOff the roster
- V. MilosavljevicOff the roster
- J. SanchezOff the roster
- A. ScottThigh Injury
- A. TothMuscle Injury
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Venue records: Sparta Praha: UEFA Europa League (2026); Bournemouth: UEFA Europa League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.
A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.
Sparta Praha at homeBournemouth away
1
Played
1
0-1-0
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
0% (5 games)
20% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BenficaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 | BournemouthPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TCPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. GilloisePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 7 |
| 13 | RennesPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 | Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +5 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal PalacePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta PrahaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski SofiaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo ZagrebPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm GrazPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -2 | 4 |
Prices
Bookmaker odds comparison
Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.
BetGenius
Our record in UEFA Europa League
61%62 won from 102 settled predictions (1 void)
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
3 published markets
Combo Bet
Double Chance
Bournemouth or Draw
72%
Confidence
Bournemouth have the stronger European and domestic record: three wins from three in the Europa League with eight goals scored and one conceded, and a run of three straight wins in all competitions. Sparta have scored in only one of their last five matches and have one point from their two European games at home or away, so the home side has to overturn a clear gap in form. The draw is a realistic outcome given Sparta's defensive record in this competition, which is why the win-or-draw position is stated rather than the win alone. Confidence is held below the level a straight win would need, because Sparta's home record and the number of low-scoring draws in their recent games keep the draw and a Sparta upset in play.
Combo Bet
Both Teams to Score
No
62%
Confidence
The stronger case here is Sparta's attack. They have failed to score in four of their last five matches across all competitions and averaged 1.7 goals per game overall, with only one goal per game at home in the competition. Bournemouth have not conceded in two of their three Europa League games and have conceded only once in the competition overall, which means Sparta would need to break down a defence that has been hard to score against. A Bournemouth win to nil, or a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline in their favour, is the shape the evidence supports most directly.
Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Bournemouth or Draw + BTTS No
62%
Both must land · no better than
Bournemouth or Draw — 72% confidence
Bournemouth have the stronger European and domestic record: three wins from three in the Europa League with eight goals scored and one conceded, and a run of three straight wins in all competitions. Sparta have scored in only one of their last five matches and have one point from their two European games at home or away, so the home side has to overturn a clear gap in form. The draw is a realistic outcome given Sparta's defensive record in this competition, which is why the win-or-draw position is stated rather than the win alone. Confidence is held below the level a straight win would need, because Sparta's home record and the number of low-scoring draws in their recent games keep the draw and a Sparta upset in play.
BTTS No — 62% confidence
The stronger case here is Sparta's attack. They have failed to score in four of their last five matches across all competitions and averaged 1.7 goals per game overall, with only one goal per game at home in the competition. Bournemouth have not conceded in two of their three Europa League games and have conceded only once in the competition overall, which means Sparta would need to break down a defence that has been hard to score against. A Bournemouth win to nil, or a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline in their favour, is the shape the evidence supports most directly.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Explore
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
- Both teams to score: BTTS predictions · How BTTS settles · BTTS record
- Combo bet: Multi bets · How multi bets work
Other UEFA Europa League predictions
Teams around them in the table
About this data
Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 3 Nov 2026, 22:40 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.
Team context last fetched: Sparta Praha: 5 Nov 2026, 00:05 WAT; Bournemouth: 5 Nov 2026, 00:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 12:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.
Published November 3, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.