BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 1
Venue
Stayen, Sint- Truiden
Referee
Mehmet Türkmen, Türkiye
Form

Recent form

St. Truiden
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

FC Iberia 1999
59Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
FC Iberia 1999 or Draw

BetGenius backs FC Iberia 1999 or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

77%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

St. Truiden arrive on a poor run, having lost four of their last five games and scoring only once in those defeats. Their defence has been porous, conceding over two goals per match, although they did produce a 4‑0 home win recently.

FC Iberia 1999 come in much fresher, with four wins in five and a solid defensive record of just four goals conceded. Their attack has been steady, finding the net in each of the last five fixtures.

The tie is a cup knockout, so a single result decides progression. The teams' combined recent goal average sits around three per game, suggesting the match could see more than two and a half goals.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. St. Truiden have lost four of their last five matches and scored only one goal in those defeats
  2. FC Iberia 1999 have won four of five recent games and concede just four goals overall
  3. Both sides average roughly 1.5 goals per game, giving a combined expectation above 2.5 goals
  4. St. Truiden’s home form includes a 4‑0 win but also three shutout losses
  5. FC Iberia 1999 enter with momentum from consecutive victories
Numbers

Statistical comparison

St. Truiden at homeFC Iberia 1999 away
4
Played
1
1-1-2
W-D-L
0-0-1
1.3
Scored /game
—
1.5
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4TrabzonsporPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
5TwentePromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
6MonacoPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
7St. TruidenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+36
8HNK Hajduk SplitPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+26
9BrightonPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+44
10FC CopenhagenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+34
26Aarhus2-11
27Pafos2-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League

77%44 won from 57 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
FC Iberia 1999 or Draw
77%
Confidence

FC Iberia 1999 have won four of their last five games and concede only 0.8 goals per match, while St. Truiden have struggled, losing four of five and conceding over two goals per game. The away side therefore appears more likely to avoid defeat. Both teams combined average about three goals per game, supporting an over‑2.5 total.

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Published October 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.