Sandefjord have a clear points and goal‑difference edge and have beaten Start 3‑0 in the most recent head‑to‑head meeting. Start’s home record is weak and they have been unable to score against Sandefjord this season. While Sandefjord’s away win rate is modest, they are less likely to lose than Start, and a draw remains plausible given both teams’ inconsistent form. This justifies backing Sandefjord or a draw, with an estimated combined probability around 60‑65 %.
Start vs Sandefjord prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 12
- Venue
- Sør Arena, Kristiansand
- Referee
- Rohit Saggi
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference
Last 4 matches · 2W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Sandefjord or Draw (Double Chance) at 63% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Start host Sandefjord in a relegation‑watch clash at the Jonsvatnet Stadium. Start sit on 16th place with 16 points and a -29 goal difference, while Sandefjord sit 13th with 24 points and a -8 goal difference. Both clubs are battling to stay clear of the relegation zone, making the encounter highly consequential for their survival hopes.
Start have struggled at home, winning only three of eleven matches and conceding 19 goals. Their recent five games include two wins but three defeats, highlighted by a 0‑3 loss to Sandefjord on 20 September. Sandefjord’s away form is also uneven – three wins, one draw and seven losses – yet they have collected more points overall and come into the game after a 3‑0 home victory over Start. In the nine previous meetings, Sandefjord have won four, drawn four and lost only once, with the latest encounter a decisive 3‑0 win.
Both sides are missing several players through injury and suspension, and their season‑long scoring averages are low (Start 1.1 goals per game, Sandefjord 1.0). Defensively they concede heavily (2.3 and 1.3 per game respectively). The combination of poor attacking output and leaky defences points to a low‑scoring affair, making an under‑2.5‑goal outcome likely.
Key factors
- Start sit bottom of the table with only 16 points and a -29 goal difference
- Sandefjord hold a six‑point advantage and have a better overall record
- Head‑to‑head favours Sandefjord 4‑1‑4 in the last nine meetings, including a 3‑0 win last month
- Both teams have low scoring averages (≈1 goal per game) and concede heavily
- Multiple injuries and a suspension leave both sides without several regular starters
Team news
Start
- J. HuseboFoot Injury
- F. ManojlovicHand Injury
- K. TonnesenLeg Injury
- E. SegbergYellow Cards
Sandefjord
- D. KoswalKnee Injury
- F. Loftesnes-BjuneThigh Injury
- M. MelchiorKnee Injury
- N. MollerAnkle Injury
- E. HadayaInjury
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Start at home plus Sandefjord away).
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 23 | -6 | 28 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 23 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 23 | -15 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 23 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | AalesundEliteserien (Relegation) | 23 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BKRelegation - OBOS-ligaen | 23 | -24 | 19 |
| 16 | StartRelegation - OBOS-ligaen | 23 | -29 | 16 |
Head-to-head
- 1
- Start
- 4
- Draws
- 4
- Sandefjord
Sandefjord have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game.
- 2026-09-20Sandefjord3-0Start
- 2026-03-08Sandefjord3-2Start
- 2023-03-05Start1-0Sandefjord
- 2021-05-02Start1-1Sandefjord
- 2020-10-24Start0-1Sandefjord
Our record in Eliteserien
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
Our previous calls on this fixture
- Sandefjord 3-0 Start2026-09-20
Other Eliteserien predictions
Teams around them in the table
Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

