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Sunderland
1W 2D 2L · Goals 5–8
5 matches, 18 Oct to 31 Oct
41
Poor
LDDWLLatest →
atCoventry
Premier LeagueL1–3
vsBrentford
League CupW3–2
vsLeedsPremier LeagueD0–0
atLech Poznan
UEFA Europa LeagueD1–1
atBournemouthPremier LeagueL0–2
- Round
- League Stage - 4
- Venue
- Stadium of Light, Sunderland
- Referee
- Andrea Colombo
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
Sunderland or Draw
BetGenius backs Sunderland or Draw (Double Chance) at 63% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
63%
Confidence
Solid
Preview
Match preview
Sunderland host Dinamo Zagreb on matchday four of the Europa League league phase, with the two sides on different trajectories. Sunderland are ninth in the table on 7 points from three games, with a goal difference of +2. They have won their only home game in the competition 1-0, won one away game, and drawn 1-1 at Lech Poznan. Zagreb are 18th on 4 points with a goal difference of -1. Their results are a 1-0 home win over Anderlecht, a goalless draw away, and a 4-2 home defeat to NEC Nijmegen.
Domestic form points the other way. Sunderland are 20th of 20 in the Premier League, with one win in nine and a recent run of LDLLL, including defeats to Coventry and Bournemouth. Zagreb are second of 10 in the HNL, with seven wins and one draw in 11 games and a current run of LWWLW. Croatia's league table is the stronger season-long measure of the two squads, but Sunderland's home venue and their better European table position keep them the more likely side to avoid defeat.
Goal output is modest on both sides in this competition. Sunderland average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded per game, with one clean sheet in three. Zagreb average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded, have failed to score in one game, and have kept two clean sheets overall. Zagreb's D. Beljo has three goals and is their listed key player. Sunderland's availability list is long, including injury entries for D. Ballard, H. Diarra, R. Mundle and N. Mukiele, plus several other absentees. Zagreb's list has S. McKenna and S. Radeljic unavailable, with others off the roster. The data is current as of kickoff day.
Analysis
Key factors
- Sunderland sit 9th on 7 points and Zagreb 18th on 4 points after three league-phase games each.
- Zagreb are second of 10 in the HNL with 7 wins from 11, while Sunderland are 20th of 20 in the Premier League with one win from nine.
- Sunderland have conceded 0 goals in their home game here and average 0.7 conceded per game in this competition; Zagreb average 1.3 conceded.
- Zagreb have failed to score in one of three competition games, and Beljo (3 goals) is their key scorer.
- Sunderland's availability list is long, with injury entries for D. Ballard, H. Diarra, R. Mundle and N. Mukiele, and Zagreb have S. McKenna and S. Radeljic unavailable.
- Combined goals across each side's three competition games total 6 for Sunderland and 7 for Zagreb, which supports a lean towards Under 2.5.
Form
Recent form and results
Away
Dinamo Zagreb
3W 0D 2L · Goals 10–7
5 matches, 15 Oct to 31 Oct
52
Average
WWLWLLatest →
atRudes
HNLL0–1
vsHNK RijekaHNLW2–1
vsNEC NijmegenUEFA Europa LeagueL2–4
atNK Slaven BelupoHNLW5–1
vsAnderlechtUEFA Europa LeagueW1–0
Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.
Teams
Lineups & team news
Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.
Sunderland
- J. AnguloOff the roster
- D. BallardMuscle Injury
- A. BrowneOff the roster
- H. DiarraMuscle Injury
- M. EllborgOff the roster
- R. MundleKnee Injury
- J. Ta BiOff the roster
- C. TalbiOff the roster
- N. MukieleConcussion
Dinamo Zagreb
- R. MudrazijaOff the roster
- I. NevisticOff the roster
- N. NsokiOff the roster
- P. TabinasOff the roster
- F. TopicOff the roster
- S. McKennaInactive
- S. RadeljicInactive
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Venue records: Sunderland: UEFA Europa League (2026); Dinamo Zagreb: UEFA Europa League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.
A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.
Sunderland at homeDinamo Zagreb away
1
Played
1
1-0-0
W-D-L
0-1-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
60% (5 games)
40% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)
Players
Key players this season
Dinamo Zagreb
- D. Beljo3G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Union St. GilloisePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 7 |
| 7 | JuventusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | BeşiktaşPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 | SunderlandPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia NicosiaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 | LyonPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Crystal PalacePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta PrahaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski SofiaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo ZagrebPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm GrazPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC NijmegenPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull SalzburgPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -3 | 4 |
Prices
Bookmaker odds comparison
Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.
BetGenius
Our record in UEFA Europa League
61%62 won from 102 settled predictions (1 void)
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
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Featured
Double Chance
Sunderland or Draw
63%
Confidence
Sunderland have the home venue, a better league-phase points total (7 to 4) and a better goal difference (+2 to -1). Zagreb's home defeat to Nijmegen (2-4) and their away goalless draw show they can be held. Zagreb's season-long domestic position (second of 10 in the HNL) is the main reason a Zagreb win cannot be ruled out, so backing Sunderland to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes without relying on a home win alone.
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About this data
Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 4 Nov 2026, 01:25 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.
Team context last fetched: Sunderland: 5 Nov 2026, 01:20 WAT; Dinamo Zagreb: 5 Nov 2026, 01:20 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 12:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.
Published November 5, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.