BetGenius

Toulouse vs Lyon prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sat, Aug 22, 06:45 PM
Round
Regular Season - 1
Venue
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Referee
Guillaume Paradis, France

Recent form

Toulouse
37Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -2 goal difference

Lyon
55Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Toulouse host Lyon at Stadium de Toulouse in this Ligue 1 encounter. The hosts enter the contest following a mixed run of recent fixtures, including a 2-1 defeat against Hamburger SV, a 2-1 victory over Real Sociedad, and a 1-1 draw with Rodez. Toulouse notably defeated Lyon 2-1 in their last domestic clash in May 2026.

Lyon arrive after a competitive European schedule, having drawn 1-1 away at Fenerbahçe and secured a 3-0 home win against Sparta Praha across their last two outings. However, their form on the road has shown vulnerability, including a 2-1 defeat to Sparta Praha and a 4-0 loss against Real Betis earlier in the summer.

Head-to-head history heavily features goals at both ends. Across the last 10 meetings, 80% of matches produced over 2.5 total goals and 70% saw both teams score, with an overall average of 3 goals per game. While Lyon hold the historical advantage with 6 wins across the 10-match sample, Toulouse won both encounters during the 2025/26 campaign with identical 2-1 scorelines.

Key factors

  • Head-to-head data shows a 70% both teams to score rate and 80% over 2.5 goals across the last 10 meetings.
  • Toulouse won the previous two head-to-head encounters against Lyon, each finishing 2-1.
  • Lyon have conceded in 3 of their last 4 away matches across all competitions.
  • Toulouse are missing A. Vossah through suspension, while Lyon are without K. Merah due to an ankle injury.

Team news

Toulouse

  • A. FrancisMuscle Injury
  • N. SigurTransfer negotiations
  • A. DonnumPersonal Reasons

Team news last updated Sep 3 (6 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Lyon

  • J. DuranvilleMuscle Injury

Team news last updated Sep 4 (5 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Statistical comparison

Toulouse at home vs Lyon away
1
Played
1
0-0-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Key players this season

Lyon

  • P. Šulc2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1MonacoChampions League league stage3+49
2Paris FCChampions League league stage3+47
3LyonChampions League league stage3+47
4LilleQualifying3+37
5RennesEuropa League league stage3+27
6StrasbourgPlay-offs3+16
14Le Mans3-12
15Nice3-32
16Le HavreRelegation Playoffs3-21
17ToulouseRelegation3-31
18AuxerreRelegation3-70

Head-to-head

Full record →
Toulouse
2
Draws
2
Lyon
6

Lyon have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-22Toulouse 0-2 Lyon
  • 2026-05-10Toulouse 2-1 Lyon
  • 2025-10-05Lyon 1-2 Toulouse
  • 2025-01-18Lyon 0-0 Toulouse
  • 2024-09-29Toulouse 1-2 Lyon

Our record in Ligue 1

51%20 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence68%

Both teams have consistently generated chances in their recent matches and past meetings. In their 10-game head-to-head sample, 70% of fixtures saw both sides find the net, with an average of 3 goals per match. Toulouse scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Lyon have registered goals in 4 of their previous 5 fixtures.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.