Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -9 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference
BetGenius backs Penybont to win (Match Winner) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Trefelin enter this fixture searching for their first league victory of the campaign, having gathered just two points from their opening seven matches. With five defeats and a minus-fifteen goal differential, the hosts have struggled at both ends of the pitch, averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded per match.
In stark contrast, Penybont remain undefeated across their first seven league outings, sitting on fifteen points with four wins and three draws. Their form on the road has been equally impressive, collecting seven points from three away fixtures while scoring seven goals in the process.
Penybont also hold the upper hand from their recent head-to-head meeting, having secured a commanding 6-1 away victory against Trefelin in August 2025. Given the stark difference in defensive stability and scoring output between the two sides, the visitors enter this match as clear favourites.
Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Trefelin at home plus Penybont away).
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GAP Connah S Quay FCPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group) | 7 | +13 | 16 |
| 4 | Caernarfon TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group) | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | LlandudnoPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group) | 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 | PenybontPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group) | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | Cardiff METPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group) | 7 | +9 | 13 |
| 8 | Airbus UKPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group) | 7 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Colwyn BayPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group) | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Briton FerryCymru Premier (Relegation Group) | 7 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFCCymru Premier (Relegation Group) | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFCCymru Premier (Relegation Group) | 7 | -12 | 2 |
| 14 | TrefelinCymru Premier (Relegation Group) | 7 | -15 | 2 |
| 15 | Flint Town UnitedCymru Premier (Relegation Group) | 7 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | HolywellCymru Premier (Relegation Group) | 7 | -17 | 1 |
Penybont have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Penybont have established a comprehensive multi-signal advantage across the opening seven rounds. They are unbeaten with four wins and three draws, while Trefelin remain winless with five defeats and two draws. Trefelin have lost two of their three home league fixtures and conceded eighteen goals overall, creating a pronounced quality gap that strongly favours the away side to collect all three points.
Penybont have been potent in attack away from home, netting seven goals in three away matches for an average of 2.3 goals per game. Meanwhile, Trefelin have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game at home and 2.6 across all league matches, failing to record a single clean sheet this season.
Penybont to win — 75% confidence
Penybont have established a comprehensive multi-signal advantage across the opening seven rounds. They are unbeaten with four wins and three draws, while Trefelin remain winless with five defeats and two draws. Trefelin have lost two of their three home league fixtures and conceded eighteen goals overall, creating a pronounced quality gap that strongly favours the away side to collect all three points.
Penybont Over 1.5 Goals — 72% confidence
Penybont have been potent in attack away from home, netting seven goals in three away matches for an average of 2.3 goals per game. Meanwhile, Trefelin have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game at home and 2.6 across all league matches, failing to record a single clean sheet this season.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Published September 10, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
