BetGenius

Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF prediction

Checking status…
EliteserienEliteserien
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 30, 03:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 19
Venue
Romssa Arena, Tromso
Referee
Svein Tore Sinnes, Norway

Recent form

Tromso
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference

Sarpsborg 08 FF
47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Tromso or Draw
Confidence80%

BetGenius backs Tromso or Draw (Double Chance) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Tromso enter round 19 of the Eliteserien sitting in 3rd place with 34 points from 17 matches, firmly positioned in European qualification contention. The hosts have established a formidable record on home turf, claiming six wins and two draws from nine fixtures while allowing only seven goals and keeping six clean sheets in the process.

Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive in 9th position on 22 points, experiencing a tougher campaign particularly on their travels. Across nine away league outings, they have suffered five defeats and conceded 16 goals (1.8 per game), with several defensive injuries further complicating their task.

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor Tromso, who have won the last three competitive meetings without conceding a single goal, including a 1-0 away win in April 2026 and a 4-0 home victory in late 2025. With attacking threats H. Larsen (8 goals) and J. Hjertø-Dahl (7 goals) available, Tromso hold the clear upper hand.

Key factors

  • Tromso have lost only once at home in the league this season (6W, 2D, 1L), conceding just 0.8 goals per match.
  • Sarpsborg 08 FF have dropped points in seven of nine away league fixtures (2W, 2D, 5L) with a 1.8 goals-conceded average on the road.
  • Tromso have won each of the last three competitive head-to-head fixtures against Sarpsborg to nil.
  • Sarpsborg 08 have four defensive absences listed on their injury report, including S. Rosted, C. Niyukuri, F. Carstensen, and M. Svenningsen Gronn.

Team news

Tromso

  • D. BrautHip Injury
  • M. TonnessenInjury
  • C. OyvannInjury
  • V. SkjaervikInjury

Sarpsborg 08 FF

  • F. CarstensenInjury
  • S. RostedAnkle Injury
  • M. Svenningsen GronnAnkle Injury

Statistical comparison

Tromso at home vs Sarpsborg 08 FF away
10
Played
10
6-3-1
W-D-L
2-3-5
1.8
Scored /game
1.1
0.7
Conceded /game
1.6
70%
Clean sheets
30%
30%
Failed to score
40%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Tromso at home plus Sarpsborg 08 FF away).

Key players this season

Tromso

  • H. Larsen8G
  • J. Hjertø-Dahl7G
  • R. Jenssen6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)19+3447
2VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)19+2444
3TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)19+1235
4MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)19+933
5Lillestrom19029
6Rosenborg19+527
7Brann19+826
8Fredrikstad19-726
9Sarpsborg 08 FF19-324
10Ham-Kam19-1023
11Valerenga19-722
12Sandefjord19-820

Head-to-head

Full record →
Tromso
4
Draws
3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3

Tromso have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-30Tromso 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2026-04-19Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-1 Tromso
  • 2025-11-02Tromso 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2025-05-25Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-1 Tromso
  • 2025-02-13Sarpsborg 08 FF 3-3 Tromso

Our record in Eliteserien

79%19 won from 24 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Tromso or Draw
Confidence80%

Tromso have been exceptionally resilient at home, suffering just one defeat in nine matches and recording six clean sheets. Sarpsborg 08 have struggled on the road with five losses in nine away league fixtures and are dealing with defensive absences including S. Rosted and C. Niyukuri. Backing Tromso in the Double Chance market provides robust coverage against an away side that has failed to beat them in their last three competitive meetings.

More from BetGenius

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Bodo/GlimtVikingMoldeLillestromRosenborgBrann
All Eliteserien predictions →

Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.