BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels
Referee
W. De Cremer
Form

Recent form

Union St. Gilloise
82Excellent

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +9 goal difference

Cercle Brugge
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Union St. Gilloise to win

BetGenius backs Union St. Gilloise to win (Match Winner) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Union St. Gilloise arrive at home with a dominant league position – fourth place with 20 points and a +18 goal difference after eight games. Their recent run includes six wins in eight, four clean sheets at home and an average of 2.3 goals scored per match on their own turf.

Cercle Brugge sit at the bottom of the table, three points from eight games and a –7 goal difference. They have failed to keep a clean sheet all season and manage just one goal per game on average, while conceding more than two per outing. Their form over the last five fixtures is one win, one draw and three defeats, including a 0‑3 loss at home.

Head‑to‑head favours Union St. Gilloise heavily: in the last ten league meetings they have won five, drawn three and lost only two, with an average of 2.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 70 % of the contests. The most recent encounter ended 1‑1, but Union have the clear statistical edge.

Despite several Union players listed as injured, the squad’s depth and recent performances suggest they will continue to dominate this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Union St. Gilloise sit fourth with a +18 goal difference, while Cercle Brugge are bottom with –7
  2. Home team scores 2.3 goals per game at home and concedes only 0.3
  3. Cercle Brugge have no clean sheets and average just 1.0 goal per game
  4. Head‑to‑head: Union won five of ten meetings and overall average goals is 2.6
  5. Union’s recent form includes six wins in eight, whereas Cercle have three losses in their last five
Availability

Team news

Union St. Gilloise

  • A. Ait El HadjOff the roster
  • I. HurteventKnock
  • O. KricfalusiKnock
  • K. Mac AllisterKnee Injury
  • I. PavlicOff the roster
  • R. SchoofsKnock
  • A. ZorganeKnock

Cercle Brugge

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Union St. Gilloise at homeCercle Brugge away
4
Played
4
2-2-0
W-D-L
0-2-2
2.3
Scored /game
1.3
0.3
Conceded /game
1.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (Union St. Gilloise at home plus Cercle Brugge away).

Players

Key players this season

Union St. Gilloise

  • R. Florucz4G
  • B. Zeneli4A
  • M. Biondic4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1GentPromotion - Champions League (League phase)8+1122
2Club Brugge KVPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)8+1521
3CharleroiPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)8+921
4Union St. GilloisePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+1820
5Anderlecht8+316
6KVC Westerlo8+313
7Genk8+412
15OH Leuven8-85
16RAAL La Louvière8-104
17KortrijkRelegation - Challenger Pro League8-163
18Cercle BruggeRelegation - Challenger Pro League8-73
History

Head-to-head

5
Union St. Gilloise
3
Draws
2
Cercle Brugge

Union St. Gilloise have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2025-12-26Cercle Brugge1-1Union St. Gilloise
  • 2025-11-22Union St. Gilloise2-0Cercle Brugge
  • 2024-12-08Cercle Brugge0-0Union St. Gilloise
  • 2024-10-27Union St. Gilloise1-3Cercle Brugge
  • 2024-05-19Cercle Brugge1-2Union St. Gilloise
BetGenius

Our record in Jupiler Pro League

66%43 won from 65 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Match Winner
Union St. Gilloise to win
78%
Confidence

Union St. Gilloise combine top‑four league standing, a prolific home attack (2.3 goals per game) and a stingy defence (0.3 goals conceded per game). Cercle Brugge are entrenched in the relegation zone, score only one goal per game and have no clean sheets. Head‑to‑head results over the last decade show Union winning five of ten meetings and scoring more than half the total goals. Even with a few injuries, the home side’s overall quality and recent form make a home win the most probable outcome.

Combo Bet
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Confidence

Union’s home average of 2.3 goals combined with Cercle’s tendency to concede around 2.3 goals per game points to a match exceeding 2.5 goals. The ten‑meeting head‑to‑head sample produced an average of 2.6 goals, and both sides have a BTTS rate of 70 % in those games, reinforcing the likelihood of a high‑scoring contest.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Union St. Gilloise to win
70%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence

Union’s home average of 2.3 goals combined with Cercle’s tendency to concede around 2.3 goals per game points to a match exceeding 2.5 goals. The ten‑meeting head‑to‑head sample produced an average of 2.6 goals, and both sides have a BTTS rate of 70 % in those games, reinforcing the likelihood of a high‑scoring contest.

Union St. Gilloise to win — 78% confidence

Union St. Gilloise combine top‑four league standing, a prolific home attack (2.3 goals per game) and a stingy defence (0.3 goals conceded per game). Cercle Brugge are entrenched in the relegation zone, score only one goal per game and have no clean sheets. Head‑to‑head results over the last decade show Union winning five of ten meetings and scoring more than half the total goals. Even with a few injuries, the home side’s overall quality and recent form make a home win the most probable outcome.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.