BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 3
Venue
Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Referee
D. Robertson
Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Universitatea Craiova or Draw

BetGenius backs Universitatea Craiova or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Universitatea Craiova host Egnatia Rrogozhinë in matchday 3 of the Conference League league phase, so there are no knockout consequences at stake. Craiova are 11th in the table on 4 points with a goal difference of +2, inside the play-off zone labelled Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals). Egnatia are 20th on 2 points with a goal difference of 0. Craiova are coached by Filipe Coelho and Egnatia by Nevil Dede.

Craiova arrive in strong domestic form. They are second of 16 in Liga I on 32 points from 14 games, with 10 wins, 34 goals scored and 10 conceded, and they have won their last five league matches. In Europe they have one win (3-1 away at Inter Club d'Escaldes) and one 1-1 draw. Egnatia have drawn both of their European matches 1-1. Their most recent results across all competitions are W 2-1 at Tirana, W 1-0 against Teuta Durrës, L 1-2 at Dinamo Tirana, a 1-1 draw with Aarhus in Europe and W 3-1 against Vllaznia Shkodër. Egnatia have no domestic standing in the data, so their league level cannot be measured the way Craiova's can.

Both sides have scored in each of their European games (Craiova 4 goals in two matches, Egnatia 2) and both have conceded at least once, but neither has kept a clean sheet. Craiova's advantage rests mainly on their stronger domestic level and home venue rather than on a settled European pattern. Team news was not confirmed in the data for this preview, so late changes are not reflected here.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Craiova are second of 16 in Liga I on 32 points from 14 games, the season-long measure of their level, and have won their last five league matches.
  2. Egnatia are 20th of 36 in the Conference League table on 2 points, and both of their European games finished 1-1.
  3. Craiova scored 4 and conceded 2 across their two European games, while Egnatia scored 2 and conceded 2.
  4. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in Europe, and Egnatia have scored no more than once in either European match.
  5. Craiova are the home side, which in this league phase fixture gives them the venue advantage, though their only European home game so far ended 1-1.
  6. Team news was not available in the data, so the effect of any absences cannot be assessed.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

Universitatea Craiova

4W 1D 0L · Goals 13–3

5 matches, 18 Oct to 1 Nov

84
Excellent
WWWDWLatest →
  • vsFC Botosani
    Liga I
    W2–1
  • atFC Voluntari
    Cupa României
    D1–1
  • atSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
    Liga I
    W5–0
  • atInter Club d'Escaldes
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    W3–1
  • vsFarul Constanta
    Liga I
    W2–0
Away

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

3W 1D 1L · Goals 8–5

5 matches, 18 Oct to 1 Nov

69
Strong
WDLWWLatest →
  • atTirana
    Superliga
    W2–1
  • vsTeuta Durrës
    Superliga
    W1–0
  • atDinamo Tirana
    Superliga
    L1–2
  • atAarhus
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    D1–1
  • vsVllaznia Shkodër
    Superliga
    W3–1

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Starting lineups

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Universitatea Craiova: UEFA Europa Conference League (2026); Egnatia Rrogozhinë: UEFA Europa Conference League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Universitatea Craiova at homeEgnatia Rrogozhinë away
1
Played
1
0-1-0
W-D-L
0-1-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
80% (5 games)
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
8HNK Hajduk SplitPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+26
9BrightonPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+44
10FC CopenhagenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+34
11Universitatea CraiovaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+24
12Mjallby AIFPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+24
13AjaxPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+13
14Borac Banja LukaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+13
17GentPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2-13
18SC FreiburgPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2-23
19FC NordsjaellandPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)202
20Egnatia RrogozhinëPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)202
21RigaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)202
22FK Crvena ZvezdaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2-11
23CSKA SofiaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2-11
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League

77%44 won from 57 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

1 locked — upgrade to unlock
Featured
Double Chance
Universitatea Craiova or Draw
72%
Confidence

Craiova are the stronger side on the evidence: second of 16 in Liga I with 10 wins from 14 and five straight league wins, playing at home against an Egnatia side 20th of 36 on 2 points. Egnatia have not lost in Europe so far, and both of their European results were 1-1 draws, so a draw is a realistic outcome. Backing Craiova to win or draw covers the most likely results, while still allowing for an away result or a stalemate. Both of Craiova's European results have been low-scoring in the case of the 1-1 draw, so the total-goals call leans under 2.5.

Featured
Team Total Goals
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Egnatia have scored no more than once in either of their European games and have found the net 8 times across their five most recent matches in all competitions, with 3 goals as their highest return. Craiova have conceded 10 goals in 14 Liga I games, so Egnatia face a well-organised home defence. A second Egnatia goal is possible but is not the most likely outcome, which is why Egnatia staying at two goals or fewer is the position supported by their scoring record.

Explore

More from BetGenius

About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 4 Nov 2026, 04:55 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Universitatea Craiova: 4 Nov 2026, 22:05 WAT; Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 4 Nov 2026, 22:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 15:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published November 4, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.